Als het zo doorgaat sluit ik een slotkoers van 250+ niet uit....
Gaat goed!
Vorige week zijn we door de 250 heengegaan, maar niet met een slotkoers. Deze week denk ik dat dat gaat gebeuren
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Als het zo doorgaat sluit ik een slotkoers van 250+ niet uit....
Gaat goed!
Vorige week zijn we door de 250 heengegaan, maar niet met een slotkoers. Deze week denk ik dat dat gaat gebeuren
Is dit niet een week waar er opties op langere termijn konden geschreven worden? Dwz dat er heel veel oude posities in zitten, nog van mensen die de optie kochten toen de koers 300 was en zo? Dat vertekent het beeld wel wat.De optie-jongens en meisjes zijn iig enthousiast
Is dit niet een week waar er opties op langere termijn konden geschreven worden? Dwz dat er heel veel oude posities in zitten, nog van mensen die de optie kochten toen de koers 300 was en zo? Dat vertekent het beeld wel wat.
De week van de waarheid . Zoals gezegd, ik moet wat doen met die calls. De +2 Juni C215 ruil ik in voor +6 C240. Ik verkoop 3 C260. Ik koop ook de -2Juni P220 en verkoop-3 Juni P240.Lastige positie. Ik ben nog aan het puzzelen. Ik moet wel wat doen eigenlijk maar ik weet nog niet wat.
Makkelijkste is nu om de 3 puts 16 Juni 200 terug te kopen voor USD 80 per stuk. In plaats daarvan verkoop ik 2 puts 220 voor USD 505 per stuk.
Koop 3 puts 16 Juni 200 -USD 240
Verkoop 2 puts 16 juni 220 +USD 1010
USD 770 opbrengst.
Positie nu:
-3 16 Juni C185
-2 16 Juni P220
+2 16 Juni C215
Met die calls moet ik ook nog wat doen maar zoals gezegd ben ik nog aan het puzzelen. Lastig, maar ik ga er uit komen
View attachment 946442
TSLA chart above
View attachment 946445
QQQ chart above
Congratulations longs on a record 12 green days in a row for TSLA. I think the reason for such a long streak has been that the options sellers have been shorting the sugar out of TSLA during this run, reducing the daily gains. Thus, it is taking more days to get the gains the market needs before buying and selling can come into a level price equilibrium. Naturally, there's typically a profit-taking dip at the top of a big run like this as the traders sell their positions and move to the next active stock.
Comparing the two daily charts above, you can see that TSLA was hit with a couple of mandatory morning dips that were not present in QQQ. From 11am through market close QQQ was in a constant climb, gaining 1.69% for the day. TSLA, on the other hand, traded around 247 from 10:45am-1:30pm. This was apparent capping, and whenever cute little TSLA dared approach 248 "Whack!" came the whack-a-mole mallet and down she went. Starting about 2pm QQQ's gain rate increased and the pirates could no longer hold TSLA at 247, so up she went. After 3pm TSLA topped out at nearly 251 before the "Whack!" came (and QQQ descended a bit). The pirates put in max capping effort to keep TSLA below 250 for the close and they succeeded with a 17 cent margin.
The capping and whack-a-mole activities on the chart strongly suggest heavy manipulations on Monday, but that judgement is backed up by percent of TSLA selling tagged to shorts coming in at a very high 67%. A hefty 5.7 million shares traded hands during the 4pm closing cross, giving the day-shorting option sellers a chance to cover at day's end.
So, where does TSLA go on Tuesday? Broader market strength will likely influence TSLA on Tuesday and the CPI Inflation numbers released an hour before Tuesday's market open will set the tone for the broader markets. Here are my thoughts on the CPI numbers...
View attachment 946466
You can see big 1% inflation gains between April and May 2022 and then another 1% gain between May and June 2022. Tuesday's numbers will replace the Low April 2022 CPI number with a much less inflationary April-May 2023 number. Consequently the 12 month CPI inflation number should show a nice improvement. Next month will be an even bigger improvement due to dropping another month which had unusually bad inflation.
View attachment 946460
Here's the recent truflation.com inflation estimate for the U.S. Notice the huge disparity between Truflation's 2.74% inflation and the U.S. government's estimate of 4.9%. That government number is based on ridiculously laggy data and is inaccurate for that reason. We did see a bit of a temporary bump in inflation between April and May (see chart above) and so the month over month inflation number in the CPI might be affected by this. Overall, though, I suspect we'll see a nice dip in year over year inflation. If Mr. Market is happy with the results, I don't see the market makers succeeding with holding TSLA below 250 for another trading day. Fingers crossed.
News:
* Electrek says that several companies (mostly charging operators) are adding Tesla's NACS plug
* Sawyer Merritt on Twitter says that KGI Securities has upgraded TSLA to outperform with a $335 price target
View attachment 946446
Percent of TSLA selling came in once again extremely high, 67%, suggesting someone was manipulating the sugar out of TSLA on Monday
View attachment 946448
Yields on 10 yr. treasury bonds closed at 3.72% on Monday
View attachment 946443
Max pain on Monday was an irrelevant 185. The big focus of market makers remains upon strike 250 at present.
View attachment 946444
Monday's options volumes. Notice how 250 dominated the day's trading
View attachment 946447
What the market makers stole from TSLA's value on Friday, the market gave back on Monday. The black candle (up but closing lower than opening price) has been remedied. Meanwhile, look at that nice arc upwards of the blue 50 day moving average. It's only about 11 away from the red 200 day moving average now. The upper bollinger band keeps following TSLA upward, above TSLA some days, below on others.
Conditions:
* Dow up 190 (0.56%)
* NASDAQ up 203 (1.53%)
* SPY up 4 (0.91%)
* TSLA 249.83, up 5.43 (2.22%)
* TSLA volume 149.9M shares
* Oil 67.21
* IV 55.9, 33%
* Max Pain 185
* Percent of TSLA selling tagged to shorts: 67%
* Volume at 4pm closing cross: 5.7M
84% zelfs.
Ken ik. De moment ik ergens instap, knallen ze weer naar beneden. Wees gerust iedereen, ik blijf aan de kant, voorlopig. Ik laat wel iets weten wanneer je best verkoopt!EV-aandelen liggen opnieuw goed in de markt. Niet alleen TSLA, ook de Chinese automakers schieten omhoog.
Zelfs Nikola is op een dikke week tijd bijna verdrievoudigd.
De bewegingen lijken me stilaan overdreven en toe aan een technische pauze.