Current Delivery Times

[pusheen]

I've only been able to skim the posts from today. Did anyone without a VIN or delivery date NOT end up with a September EDD? As best I can tell everyone shows September as of today.


Possible reasons:

• Tesla realized they were pissing everyone off by missing their estimates so just decided, "Fine, just move everyone to last month in Q3. We should be able to get them all by then."
• ERP/MRP Regeneration (context: Current Delivery Times)
• Another system glitch (e.g. everyone showing blue model 3, invisible cars, or simply unavailable)
• Big changes to the vehicles (seems very unlikely, unless it's another removal of an "unused" feature)
• Some cruel social psychology experiment that slipped past the IRB approval process

I would imagine the poor programmer that created the Estimated Delivery Date code never accounted for this supply chain mess. The triggers they probably used to indicate delivery dates are likely unreliable given the scrambling. My consumer tech company is also scrambling due to global supply chain issues. We're doing a combo of things like quality alternative parts, squeeze as many parts from current suppliers as possible, accelerate longer-term strategic decisions, and slow demand - or at least delivery - in certain scenarios. I feel like we're all currently a part of this within Tesla and EDD are just at the end of the bull-whip effect.

2 - 6 weeks for me, as it has been since I took my order off hold. Briefly had 06/08-06/20 but that disappeared. MYSR white/white/19/no FSD. Ordered March 02. On hold until May 15ish.

 

[Stephan Bogan]

I've only been able to skim the posts from today. Did anyone without a VIN or delivery date NOT end up with a September EDD? As best I can tell everyone shows September as of today.


Possible reasons:

• Tesla realized they were pissing everyone off by missing their estimates so just decided, "Fine, just move everyone to last month in Q3. We should be able to get them all by then."
• ERP/MRP Regeneration (context: Current Delivery Times)
• Another system glitch (e.g. everyone showing blue model 3, invisible cars, or simply unavailable)
• Big changes to the vehicles (seems very unlikely, unless it's another removal of an "unused" feature)
• Some cruel social psychology experiment that slipped past the IRB approval process

I would imagine the poor programmer that created the Estimated Delivery Date code never accounted for this supply chain mess. The triggers they probably used to indicate delivery dates are likely unreliable given the scrambling. My consumer tech company is also scrambling due to global supply chain issues. We're doing a combo of things like quality alternative parts, squeeze as many parts from current suppliers as possible, accelerate longer-term strategic decisions, and slow demand - or at least delivery - in certain scenarios. I feel like we're all currently a part of this within Tesla and EDD are just at the end of the bull-whip effect.

Given the wonkiness of the front facing system(s) this month / last month, I could def see bullet one and/or three.

I'm just not familiar enough with Tesla's ERP, but a mass move like this screams regen. Though, folks are mentioning there's internal system dates still pegged with dates re feedback from SAs.

I could see the front facing system having a place holder month if the back end regen is in progress. But it would be an admission internally for Tesla that their master plans and schedules are way out of whack. Caveat being they could just regen periodically as standard practice to clean things up. Many companies do this, and I could see EOQ / Half-Year being a logical time to do it if they do - and typically a regen exercise like this takes a while to prepare and execute through.

-- EDIT - All of this assuming it is a regen / replan occurring. Of course that is pure speculation.

 

[fatcat]

I've only been able to skim the posts from today. Did anyone without a VIN or delivery date NOT end up with a September EDD? As best I can tell everyone shows September as of today.


Possible reasons:

• Tesla realized they were pissing everyone off by missing their estimates so just decided, "Fine, just move everyone to last month in Q3. We should be able to get them all by then."
• ERP/MRP Regeneration (context: Current Delivery Times)
• Another system glitch (e.g. everyone showing blue model 3, invisible cars, or simply unavailable)
• Big changes to the vehicles (seems very unlikely, unless it's another removal of an "unused" feature)
• Some cruel social psychology experiment that slipped past the IRB approval process

I would imagine the poor programmer that created the Estimated Delivery Date code never accounted for this supply chain mess. The triggers they probably used to indicate delivery dates are likely unreliable given the scrambling. My consumer tech company is also scrambling due to global supply chain issues. We're doing a combo of things like quality alternative parts, squeeze as many parts from current suppliers as possible, accelerate longer-term strategic decisions, and slow demand - or at least delivery - in certain scenarios. I feel like we're all currently a part of this within Tesla and EDD are just at the end of the bull-whip effect.

I do not have the September estimated delivery date or a VIN: EDD currently 6/17-6/29

 

[Bop13]

I've only been able to skim the posts from today. Did anyone without a VIN or delivery date NOT end up with a September EDD? As best I can tell everyone shows September as of today.


Possible reasons:

• Tesla realized they were pissing everyone off by missing their estimates so just decided, "Fine, just move everyone to last month in Q3. We should be able to get them all by then."
• ERP/MRP Regeneration (context: Current Delivery Times)
• Another system glitch (e.g. everyone showing blue model 3, invisible cars, or simply unavailable)
• Big changes to the vehicles (seems very unlikely, unless it's another removal of an "unused" feature)
• Some cruel social psychology experiment that slipped past the IRB approval process

I would imagine the poor programmer that created the Estimated Delivery Date code never accounted for this supply chain mess. The triggers they probably used to indicate delivery dates are likely unreliable given the scrambling. My consumer tech company is also scrambling due to global supply chain issues. We're doing a combo of things like quality alternative parts, squeeze as many parts from current suppliers as possible, accelerate longer-term strategic decisions, and slow demand - or at least delivery - in certain scenarios. I feel like we're all currently a part of this within Tesla and EDD are just at the end of the bull-whip effect.

I still have my same date range, June 17-30. Ordered 4/21.

 

[aditgarg]

Dumb question here but where are you guys seeing this MVPA? I am looking at my account and do not see this information and I have a VIN assigned.

i saw it on the tesla page after payment profile was filled out but prior to insurance being uploaded.

 

[aditgarg]

Hello, when did you booked your Tesla and how long it took to get your VIN/delivery date

see signature for details

 

[BitJam]

Another possible reason for the new delays: after getting feedback from drivers, Tesla is re-thinking their TV vision-only system so they want to limit the number of radar-free cars they sell until they are sure they can work out the kinks in TV.

 

[Stephan Bogan]

I do not have the September estimated delivery date or a VIN: EDD currently 6/17-6/29

I still have my same date range, June 17-30. Ordered 4/21.

Good data points, thanks!

 

[casey1202]

Well, kids — tomorrow is (hopefully) the day! Scheduled for home delivery at 10:00 AM. Took this afternoon off to finalize sale of my 2018 BMW X3. Keep your fingers crossed for me. Theoretically I should have photos to share in the not too distant future.

And …. we are officially official! X3 is sold, Tesla called to confirm 10:00 tomorrow morning, and I’m in a Lyft on my way home. Sending good vibes to everyone still waiting.

 

[Gellie]

The only positive to a Sept delivery, is the newer EV cars( from VW, BMW,Ford) should be available for a test drive.

 

[aditgarg]

I ordered May 26. I've never had an EDD. Maybe this is because I ordered online. Now I'm trying to get a demo model.

I ordered online

 

[iamcaseyf]

reached out to my SA stating how frustrating it is that we are looking at Sept now and asked to find an inventory/demo unit with the exact spec.. he found one which would be $1300 more because of the increases, told him lets do it not 3 minutes later he replied saying it's been sold. Ugh.

 

[Riggs11]

What was your order date and config?

Ordered 5/17 Config. MYLR gray black interior, induction rims, 5 seat, no FSD, no Tow

 

[Nocokewh]

Ordered 5/17 Config. MYLR gray black interior, induction rims, 5 seat, no FSD, no Tow

Did you try to call either Mt Kisco or Milford?

 

[Riggs11]

Did you try to call either Mt Kisco or Milford?

No, itsnt true that they always say they have no clue…

 

[waitingonMY]

Next level Tesla Twin. I’m also selling an X3. we clearly fit some stereotype I was unaware of.
So excited for your delivery!

I’m the lost triplet. I’m also saying goodbye to my 2020 X3 on Thursday (hopefully).

 

[Nocokewh]

No, itsnt true that they always say they have no clue…

Spoke to Milford yesterday was told they are expecting something this week. I would think Tesla is pushing as hard as they can since this is quarterly cutoff.

 

[Cybwiz]

You must have accepted the financing terms? If you don't need to shop around for financing anymore, then you don't need an MVPA. Maybe your SA can find the old doc? The mileage is undeterminable unless you have a demo. Looks like everyone is 15 (unitless). You won't know the actual mileage until the SC receives the car and can look at the odometer. It might gain a mile going on and off the truck/train from Fremont so I doubt they are relaying that info until delivery.

Unless someone knows otherwise?

Yes, I have already accepted the finance terms so I am good there. Thanks for that piece of info. As for mileage, I know the vehicle has 9 miles on it according to the SA. I was supposed to take delivery tomorrow in Rockville however got a call this morning that the vehicle is still sitting in the same place it was a week ago awaiting transport. Not sure who handles transportation logistics but damn, I feel like someone needs a swift kick. Anyways, my pickup date was shifted to this coming Saturday @ noon. Guess I can wait a few more days.

 

[elizabeth22]

I've only been able to skim the posts from today. Did anyone without a VIN or delivery date NOT end up with a September EDD? As best I can tell everyone shows September as of today.


Possible reasons:

• Tesla realized they were pissing everyone off by missing their estimates so just decided, "Fine, just move everyone to last month in Q3. We should be able to get them all by then."
• ERP/MRP Regeneration (context: Current Delivery Times)
• Another system glitch (e.g. everyone showing blue model 3, invisible cars, or simply unavailable)
• Big changes to the vehicles (seems very unlikely, unless it's another removal of an "unused" feature)
• Some cruel social psychology experiment that slipped past the IRB approval process

I would imagine the poor programmer that created the Estimated Delivery Date code never accounted for this supply chain mess. The triggers they probably used to indicate delivery dates are likely unreliable given the scrambling. My consumer tech company is also scrambling due to global supply chain issues. We're doing a combo of things like quality alternative parts, squeeze as many parts from current suppliers as possible, accelerate longer-term strategic decisions, and slow demand - or at least delivery - in certain scenarios. I feel like we're all currently a part of this within Tesla and EDD are just at the end of the bull-whip effect.

I still have June 18-30 for my EDD.

 

[JavD4]

April buyer here. Had dates for aug 7th which slipped to September as well. Actually glad as that gives Vroom time to pick up the car, payoff to happen and for the credit report reflect no car debt. September it is. Take your time tesla, get your QC just right for my Y please