To my knowledge the predicted mileage reflects the actually charged capacity of the battery. It uses a fixed factor.
You can use the displayed mileage when fully charged when the car is young, i.e. not yet degraded, as a reference point for the full capacity. For example, if your car showed 300 miles after you had charged it fully a few times after buying it, but now shows 270 miles, then you have 10% degradation.
This is not absolutely exact, but comes pretty close to actual degradation. It is a simple, easy, quick method.
On the Teslalogger Degradation page you can see statistics on mileage for your exact Tesla type over miles driven. This allows you to compare your individual car to others of the same type.
You can use the displayed mileage when fully charged when the car is young, i.e. not yet degraded, as a reference point for the full capacity. For example, if your car showed 300 miles after you had charged it fully a few times after buying it, but now shows 270 miles, then you have 10% degradation.
This is not absolutely exact, but comes pretty close to actual degradation. It is a simple, easy, quick method.
On the Teslalogger Degradation page you can see statistics on mileage for your exact Tesla type over miles driven. This allows you to compare your individual car to others of the same type.