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Fossil Fuel Divestment - Saudis Want Out

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SA of all countries needs to go Solar (wind too?) + batteries. Export the oil, use Solar/battery for domestic consumption (they just have a ton of empty space and sunlight).

Same principle with Norway (hydro for domestic and export the oil), and far better than nuclear. Hopefully this move in raising gas prices will work themselves in that direction.
It is my understanding that they are pumping oil from the ground using solar power.
 
SA of all countries needs to go Solar (wind too?) + batteries. Export the oil, use Solar/battery for domestic consumption (they just have a ton of empty space and sunlight).

Same principle with Norway (hydro for domestic and export the oil), and far better than nuclear. Hopefully this move in raising gas prices will work themselves in that direction.

They are also awash in natural gas. For years they just burned it off in giant flares that were visible from space. That is now considered uncool except in emergencies. They can liquefy it and export it, but there isn't a huge market for liquefied natural gas yet. There aren't a lot of terminals around the world to import it, though some are under construction I believe. There was a big fight in Oregon about a natural gas export terminal that went down to defeat.

The only other options with abundant natural gas is to turn it into fertilizer or run power plants. According to Wikipedia, they do generate 65% of their electricity burning oil and 27% from natural gas. They could replace the oil with solar. Some of the United Arab Emirates are pushing forward with renewables. The YouTube series Fully Charged done by Robert Lewellyn has had a few programs on the energy advancements in the UAE.
 
The heavily subsidized price of gasoline was doubled today in Saudi Arabia. I doubt that will be a popular move. Diesel prices remain unchanged.

Projections for a narrower budget deficit in 2018 are based on robust non-oil GDP expansion which has zero chance of happening. Should be a very interesting 2018.
 
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The heavily subsidized price of gasoline was doubled today in Saudi Arabia. I doubt that will be a popular move. Diesel prices remain unchanged.

Projections for a narrower budget deficit in 2018 are based on robust non-oil GDP expansion which has zero chance of happening. Should be a very interesting 2018.
Yes. Resource based economies have a difficult time developing. In the long run, it really is a curse.
 
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Extensive update on Saudi "reforms"
Saudis Said to Use Coercion and Abuse to Seize Billions

Looks like a shakedown of the rich with torture and abuse.
"
RIYADH, Saudi Arabia — Businessmen once considered giants of the Saudi economy now wear ankle bracelets that track their movements. Princes who led military forces and appeared in glossy magazines are monitored by guards they do not command. Families who flew on private jets cannot gain access to their bank accounts. Even wives and children have been forbidden to travel.

In November, the Saudi government locked up hundreds of influential businessmen — many of them members of the royal family — in the Riyadh Ritz-Carlton in what it called an anti-corruption campaign.
 
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This push to raise the price of oil pre-IPO might be just what the doctor ordered for Tesla. Higher gas prices in the first summer with Model 3's rolling around the US.

This 5 year period is an unprecedented opportunity to leverage foresight into the fall of oil. But I'll leave that convo for the Investment forum......
 
They are also awash in natural gas. For years they just burned it off in giant flares that were visible from space. That is now considered uncool except in emergencies. They can liquefy it and export it, but there isn't a huge market for liquefied natural gas yet. There aren't a lot of terminals around the world to import it, though some are under construction I believe. There was a big fight in Oregon about a natural gas export terminal that went down to defeat.

The only other options with abundant natural gas is to turn it into fertilizer or run power plants. According to Wikipedia, they do generate 65% of their electricity burning oil and 27% from natural gas. They could replace the oil with solar. Some of the United Arab Emirates are pushing forward with renewables. The YouTube series Fully Charged done by Robert Lewellyn has had a few programs on the energy advancements in the UAE.
What Is Driving the Middle East Solar Market?
 
A perspective on Saudi Prince MBS:
Dear Saudi Crown Prince Supporters: Your Hero May Allow Women to Drive, but He’s Also a War Criminal


To be clear: I did not expect those of you who are members of the Trump administration, the defense industry, the oil industry or, for that matter, the Bush family, to do anything other than flatter and fawn over MBS on his recent visit to these shores. But what of you liberal apologists for the Saudi dictator-in-waiting? Why did so many of you fall over one another to get a meet-and-greet with MBS? From major Hollywood bosses like Brian Grazer and Bob Iger, to Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson? From the tech titans of Silicon Valley like Tim Cook, Jeff Bezos and Evan Spiegel, to the heads of Harvard and MIT? From “liberal interventionists,” such as Bill Clintonand John Kerry, to liberal capitalists, such as Lloyd Blankfein and Michael Bloomberg?
 
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Yes. Resource based economies have a difficult time developing. In the long run, it really is a curse.
Corruption is no small part of the problem. Some countries try to avoid the corruption.
Norway for example - probably the least corruption. So I see the corruption as the curse - money can and often does corrupt all. Drugs for example. OK, it is depressing to think about all the ways we screw up.
Cod are gone from Grand Banks in Canada and now it seems they are managing to kill off the Frazer River Salmon run (sadly Norwegian Atlantic Fish Farms).
 
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So consensus seems to be building that the "shooting down of a toy drone" back in April was actually a failed coup and that MBS was shot twice in the altercation at a Riyadh palace.

Where’s Mohammed bin Salman? Not dead, according to Saudi Arabia

So what multi-national corporations are headed to Saudi Arabia to set up shop and diversify this economy? What investors(other than China) are going to buy into this IPO?

Seems as though things may be coming rapidly to a head. If Brent drifts back down to $60 in September and stays that way, the end might come sooner than thought possible.
 
2.5 years later and the IPO is dead. Now the plan seems to be forcing Aramco to buy a petrochemical company owned by the sovereign wealth fund. A shaky plan at best.

Aramco’s Next Plan To Raise Billions Of Dollars | OilPrice.com

Spending(and deficts) are still through the roof, almost to the point where bond markets may have to think twice about ability to repay. What happens to the global economy when Saudi Arabia can no longer borrow money?
 
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The IMF has pegged breakeven at $80-85/barrel for the Saudi's to breakeven. Probably a generous estimate considering their 2019 budget is projected to rise 13% over 2018 to $295B. Then there's the off-budget war in Yemen.

US shale production growth shows no signs of slowing and is eat up all marketshare left hanging by OPEC+R production cuts. With rumblings of discontent in Russia, this minimal level of cooperation may not even last until the summer. We should start to see "every gal for herself" behavior from oil producing nations as even they acquiesce to the reality of near term peak oil demand. That could drive brent even lower for 2019/20.

The IPO has failed. The $40B bond issuance to "buy" SABIC was initially rejected by US/global banks and is still teetering. The $10B effort to diversify the Saudi economy into finance has failed completely due to lack of interest....and that was before they kidnapped every wealthy Saudi in a $100B shakedown.

If bond issuance isn't an option past this time next year, and domestic discontent requires more and more spending, what's the next step?
 
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The IMF has pegged breakeven at $80-85/barrel for the Saudi's to breakeven. Probably a generous estimate considering their 2019 budget is projected to rise 13% over 2018 to $295B. Then there's the off-budget war in Yemen.

US shale production growth shows no signs of slowing and is eat up all marketshare left hanging by OPEC+R production cuts. With rumblings of discontent in Russia, this minimal level of cooperation may not even last until the summer. We should start to see "every gal for herself" behavior from oil producing nations as even they acquiesce to the reality of near term peak oil demand. That could drive brent even lower for 2019/20.

The IPO has failed. The $40B bond issuance to "buy" SABIC was initially rejected by US/global banks and is still teetering. The $10B effort to diversify the Saudi economy into finance has failed completely due to lack of interest....and that was before they kidnapped every wealthy Saudi in a $100B shakedown.

If bond issuance isn't an option past this time next year, and domestic discontent requires more and more spending, what's the next step?

You Won't Believe What Saudi Arabia's Oil Production Cost Is -- The Motley Fool
You Won't Believe What Saudi Arabia's Oil Production Cost Is
The Middle Eastern nation is the king of low-cost production...for now.

Matthew DiLallo
(TMFmd19)
Mar 19, 2017 at 10:00AM

When crude oil prices crashed into the $20 range early last year, it had most oil-producing nations quaking in their boots. That's because few countries can make much -- if any -- money at that price point. I say most because there are a handful of producers that were still able to make a tidy profit at that price point. Leading the way was Saudi Arabia.

According to data from energy industry consultant Rystad Energy, on average it cost Saudi Arabia less than $9 to produce a barrel of oil last year. That's the cheapest in the world, though fellow OPEC countries Iran and Iraq can produce for around $10 per barrel as well, which is well below rival nations:

Cost of Oil Production by Country - knoema.com

This source show cost for Saudi + $100/barrel

I'm not sure who to distrust more - Saudi, Big Oil, International Banks (IMF, Federal Reserve - nothing federal, but a baniking cartel started by JP Morgan) or Wall St. </rant>:cool: