I'm trying to guess my waiting list number based on the RN number. I booked on 22nd around 8:30 PM PST. The number is RN11289xxxx.
The spreadsheet maintained by the CT owners forum has these details currently. They assume the net reservation is around 2M ... and the reservation range is about 8M. So, 4 reservation numbers = 1 reservation.
Going by that my reservation, which is about 150,000 from the lowest reservation number is probably around 40,000 on waiting list. Assuming a very high conversion rate of 50%, puts me at 20,000. I'm looking forward to getting CT for my planned summer road trip ... doesn't look all that infeasible
BTW, Sandy and others have mentioned 1M reservations. In that case, the math gets changed. Ofcourse, the early reservation holder conversion rate will probably better than later ones ... but I'm still assuming 50% max.
The spreadsheet maintained by the CT owners forum has these details currently. They assume the net reservation is around 2M ... and the reservation range is about 8M. So, 4 reservation numbers = 1 reservation.
Going by that my reservation, which is about 150,000 from the lowest reservation number is probably around 40,000 on waiting list. Assuming a very high conversion rate of 50%, puts me at 20,000. I'm looking forward to getting CT for my planned summer road trip ... doesn't look all that infeasible
BTW, Sandy and others have mentioned 1M reservations. In that case, the math gets changed. Ofcourse, the early reservation holder conversion rate will probably better than later ones ... but I'm still assuming 50% max.
Last edited: