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How long will it take the number of Model 3s to surpass the number of Model 6's on the road?

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I'm interested in finding out your speculation as to how long it might take for Model 3's on the road to surpass Model S's. The reason for my question is that I believe that one of the reasons why there aren't tons of After Market accessories for the Model S is because After market vendors might believe that the demand might be too low.

I'm not sure that if I were a 3rd party vendor - I would purchase a Model S just to make $100 widgets to sell. I would have to sell Hundreds of them just to make up for my initial investment costs of the car itself.

Its my belief that 2 things will drive 3rd party vendor accessories and that is 1. The number of models sold. 2. (not as important) The price of a Model 3 to purchase for R&D of accessories.

Your Thoughts?
 
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