While it's just human nature to find patterns (Look at that cloud! It looks like a turtle!), I can tell you that any pattern that you think you see in Tesla deliveries, EDDs, and upgraded configurations is likely not a pattern. Let's use my order as an example:
My order date is 06-April. M3LR, Blue/Black, 19" wheels, EAP. Delivery: Indianapolis. All tasks completed.
First, the idea that "upgrades" from the base model (color, wheels, interior, EAP/FSD) speed up delivery? Not true. I'm still waiting.
I've had three two-week windows so far:
- Mid-June. Got a week into that one before being pushed to Sept-Oct
- Mid-August. Got three days into that window before being pushed back to Late August-Early September.
- Currently about a week from my third two-week window of Late August-Early September.
That trade in text or call? I got mine on 06-June. It indicates nothing other than Tesla would like to buy your old car cheap and sell it for more.
The idea that your advisor has access to more data than you do? Perhaps they do, but you don't think that info changes when your EDD changes? It does. Their data comes from the same manufacturing scheduling system that your EDD comes from.
While there are some very vague generalizations regarding the quarterly waves, you cannot really use those to predict when your car will be delivered. When you received a VIN and are asked to set a delivery date, then the end is in sight. Until then, enjoy the ride.
This public service announcement brought to you by day 135 with an EDD window of day 143 through day 157. Unless it slips again.
