Others have already answered on this, but since you quoted me, I'm chiming in here to.
I have tried to read and hear all about the upcomming Gen-III/Model E (earlier)/Model 3 (current). And I have several times heard Elon say that it will get «at least 200 real world miles». He has also said (about the time TMS70D was introduced) that you really need about 240 EPA miles to get 200 real world miles.
So rest assured that the base version Model 3 will get more then 200 miles of EPA range. How much more? That's anybody's guess... 240 EPA miles seams a bit high, so I'm guessing on about 220 to 240 EPA miles. But I'm hoping for 240+ EPA miles.... And it will be logical to have about the same base range on Model S and Model 3.