For those who are familiar with the accident site and the driving condition, what would the sun glare look like at the time of this accident? Especially in a X without the windshield sun shade.
I posted a couple of videos a couple of pages back..sun was not a factor whatsoever when I drove yesterday morning at 915am while taking the videos.
way, way back in this thread
@Joelc posted an informative
dashcam video taken on same stretch of road ~1.5hrs before the accident on 3/23. In that video, you can see on the morning of the accident it was sunny with a
clear blue sky.
Even though the sun is off a little bit to the left of center of the field of view, there seems to be a lot of glare into the dashcam. Plus the shadow to light transition passing under the Shoreline overpass shortly before the apex of the gore point seems pretty dramatic/distracting.
@Skidmark - in
your videos taken 9:15am a day or two ago, I don't see as much sky framed in your shots, but if I'm not mistaken the weather looks partly cloudy? Could the sun's glare have been much less severe on that day, compared to 3/23 blue sky a.m.? (compare to joelc's video).
BTW, joelc's dashcam timestamp shows 3/23 8:10am, so the sun in that video won't be exactly same as at the time of the accident (reported as 9:27am 3/23). I was wondering where the sun was at 9:27am compared to 8:10am the same morning, and
if the lighting conditions might have been better or worse than in the 8:10am video...
TL;DR version - the sun might have been more directly in a driver's eyes at the place & time of the accident than as seen in joelc's 8:10am video
Using TPE (
The Photographer's Ephemeris), a tool used by outdoor photographers to visualize the direction of the moon's and sun's light at any location and time of day&year, I compared the angles of the sun at both 8:10am and 9:27am on that stretch of road. In the annotated screenshots below, there's a thin orange line to the right that shows the direction of the sun at the indicated date & time of day, relative to the push-pin. Lower down there's also a slider which also shows the direction & elevation of the sun. I arbitrarily placed the push pin in the middle of the gore area, roughly 100ft from the impact barrier (i.e. ~1sec away at 70mph). See attached screenshots from TPE:
8:10am 3/23: the sun is little off to the left of direction of travel (bearing 97.5 deg) and elevation 11.7 deg. FYI, if you clench your fist at arms-length with thumb on top, the height of your fist approximates about a 10 deg angle of elevation towards the horizon. If you compare the 8:10am TPE screenshot to the sun seen in
the 8:10am video, the angles seem about right.
9:27am 3/23: by the time of the accident, the sun has risen further in the sky (now elevation 26.5 deg), however it has also moved further south in the sky (bearing 110.6 deg), i.e. further right compared to 8:10am, as viewed by someone driving S on 101. Looking at the TPE screenshot, the sun is now in almost directly in line with the direction of traffic in the final 100ft or so before reaching the barrier.
It seems that at 9:27am you'd be driving almost directly into the sun on that last stretch of road before the impact barrier. Even though the sun was higher in the sky (26.5 deg, or about 2 1/2 "fists" high), maybe that's still relatively low in one's forward field of view? ... I leave it as an exercise to the reader to determine where a straight-ahead sun at 26.5 deg elevation would appear in the MX's panoramic windshield...
in summary, my points are:
a) if skidmark's videos were taken on a partly cloudy day, then perhaps joelc's video on 8:10am 3/23 are a closer representation of the lighting conditions there on the day of the accident
b) the actual glare from the sun at the time of the accident might have been worse than was seen in the 8:10am video, (assuming it didn't cloud over by 9:27am)
I have no idea whether or not such lighting conditions affected either the driver's or AP's vision of the worn out road markings further back or of the impact barrier itself, but I thought I'd point out the comparison of the sun's
calculated direction at time of accident to that 8:10am video (eyewitnesses with dashcam video could toss all this out the window).