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Possible reservation number hint on My Tesla

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You could be on to something here also

My common reservation is showing 412XXX
My common uid is showing 98057XXX

I was thinking 37XXXX were there earliest M3 orders, so I would be around 40Kish in line, but that is just whats showing so far in the thread. There could have been about 15-20k with employees. This could make me right around 57XXX in line.
awesome! I'm liking this better now :) than the ResID . seems closer to where I thought I would be. Wow 57Kish !! you will be months before me dude. I hope we are onto something with this...
 
Very few outliers in the list so far, considering recollection of time of day. Reservation id to time of day correlates strongest from those that recall exact submission time. Lowest:36xxxx, highest:69xxxx.

In-store (EST)
3/31 9:30am 370xxx
3/31 10:00am 36xxxx
3/31 10:00am 37xxxx
3/31 10:05am 371xxx
3/31 2:35pm 36xxxx (france)
3/31 10:08am 371xxx
3/31 10:10am 371xxx
3/31 10:15am 37xxx2
3/31 10:30am 37xxxx
3/31 10:40am 373xxx
3/31 10:45am 374xxx
3/31 10:45am 37xxxx
3/31 11:00am 37xxxx
3/31 11:00am 374xxx
3/31 11:20am 376xxx
3/31 11:30am 377xxx
3/31 11:40am 377xxx
3/31 12:00pm 382xxx
3/31 12:30pm 381xxx
3/31 1:20pm 497xx5
3/31 1:26pm 391xxx
3/31 1:30pm 391xxx
3/31 1:45pm 386xxx
3/31 2:00pm 392xxx
3/31 2:45pm 391xxx
3/31 12:00pm 4xxxx0
3/31 12:00pm 4xxxx5
3/31 4:30pm 390xxx
3/31 3:30pm 395xxx
3/31 4:30pm 397xxx
3/31 5:00pm 400xxx
3/31 6:30pm 40xxxx
3/31 3:00pm 512xx9
3/31 3:00pm 512xx7
3/31 4:00pm 519xxx
3/31 4:00pm 398xxx
3/31 5:45pm 403xxx

Online (EST)
3/31 10:08pm 412xxx
3/31 10:??pm 4127xx
3/31 10:08pm 413xxx
3/31 10:30pm 419xxx
3/31 10:??pm 4197xx
3/31 10:30pm 43xxxx
3/31 10:45pm 44xxxx
3/31 11:00pm 433xxx
3/31 11:15pm 443xxx
3/31 10:40pm 45xxxx
4/01 12:02am 46xxxx
4/01 12:00pm 49xxxx
4/01 8:00am 52xxxx
4/01 11:00am 523xxx
4/01 11:30am 497xxx
4/01 10:30pm 578xxx
4/04 ??:??pm 64xxxx
4/05 2:10pm 657xxx
4/12 ??:?? 69xxxx
 
A physical impossibility since some of us are in the 300ks. I'm 39xxxx for instance.
OK, my point was misunderstood. All Teslas have a reservation number. Starting with 000001, which would have been a Roadster, then the Model S came along, which might have taken the reservation numbers up into the 200,000's, and then the X, which took the reservation numbers up to 300k-360k. Those with a 36xxxx are the first reservations of a Model 3. If you take the assumed start point of 36xxxx (which seems to be the lowest start value for the Model 3 reservations), my 69xxxxx would be 330,000 places after the first person. We know that there were 385K reservations, but 12k were removed, making the current total about 373k. This would make sense that I am a long way down the list, due to my late April 12th reservation.
 
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How does the current Tesla ownership status effect the reservation number/order?

OK, my point was misunderstood. All Teslas have a reservation number. Starting with 000001, which would have been a Roadster, then they Model S came along, which might have take the reservation numbers up into the 200,000, and then the X, which took the reservation numbers up to 300k-400k. Those with a 3xxxxx are the first reservations of a Model 3. If you take the assumed start point of 31xxxx (which seems to be the lowest start value for the Model 3 reservations), my 69xxxxx would be 380,000 places after the first person. We know that there were 385K reservations, but 12k were removed, making the current total about 373k. This would make sense that I am a long way down the list, due to my late April 12th reservation.
 
what this means to me..

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How did no one figure this out before? Mine definitely match up.

Model S, reserved July 2012 #018xxx
Model X, reserved September 2015 #265xxx
Model 3, reserved 3/31 1 pm Pacific #519xxx and #519xxx (5 apart from each other)
Based on this, the number is likely a tally of how many vehicles have been reserved thus far. It's likely a mixed bag of S, X and 3. And the starting point before Model 3 reservations likely isn't anything logical.

If this is the case, it's difficult to assess how many reservations are coming in for the Model 3 based on this number, because you have no idea about the distribution between S, X and 3. You can however tell if there are a lot of reservations in total coming in.