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Prediction: Coal has fallen. Nuclear is next then Oil.

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This flight had no paying passengers so was a complete waste. Just greenwashing.

Key line in the article is "Aircraft are usually only allowed to use up to 50% in a blend." This was a test flight using 100%.

Aviation industry won't allow flights with passengers to use 100% until there's sufficient data from testing.
 
OPEC is upset at IEA ;)


Last week, the IEA published a report saying that a “moment of truth” is coming for the oil and gas industry as most companies are watching the energy transition from the sidelines, with oil and gas producers accounting for only 1% of total clean energy investment globally.

“Producers must choose between contributing to a deepening climate crisis or becoming part of the solution by embracing the shift to clean energy,” the IEA said.

“The manner in which the IEA has unfortunately used its social media platforms in recent days to criticize and instruct the oil and gas industry is undiplomatic to say the least. OPEC itself is not an organization that would prescribe to others what they should do,” Al Ghais said.

OPEC also criticized the agency for describing carbon capture utilization and storage (CCUS) an “illusion”.
 
"Proving runs" are common for new startup airlines, new routes, new fleets, and in this case "new fuels". They're flown without passengers for a reason.
Another quote from the article:

Following test and analysis, the flight was approved by UK regulator the Civil Aviation Authority earlier this month. A number of companies have been involved in the project including engine-maker Rolls-Royce and energy giant BP.

In other words, they couldn't just do it. As Branson was quoted in the article

But you have to start somewhere... And if we didn't prove it can be done, you would never, ever get sustainable aviation fuel.

Sure he's a PR guy, but he's also somebody who likes to push stuff.

I think that one of the big things about getting the limit up to 100% is that it would simplify the supply chain and operations. No concern about bad fuel blends.

You'll know it's proven and the supply chain is building up when there's a sustainable fuel option when buying your plane tickets.
 
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In a Shaky Oil Market, OPEC Has Bitter Decisions to Make https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/29/....OSlp.Noz_UNuCRlYZ&smid=nytcore-android-share

These are tricky times for the world’s major oil producers: Prices are lower, the health of the global economy is uncertain, and, even as the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries tries to cut output, supplies from other producers, notably the United States, are growing.

After three years of pandemic recovery and robust increases in demand for oil, appetite is expected to slow in 2024. The main reasons: China, which accounted for three-quarters of global demand growth in 2023, is facing an economic slowdown. Overall economic expansion is expected to be tepid while more efficient energy use and increasing numbers of electric vehicles reduce oil consumption. With production expected to increase outside of OPEC Plus, there will be little need for increased output from the producers group in the early part of 2024 or, perhaps, longer, analysts say

The pipeline of non-OPEC projects alone appears sufficient to meet all global demand growth in the next few years at least,” analysts at Morgan Stanley wrote in a recent research note.
 

A new modelling study suggests air pollution, from the use of fossil fuels in industry, power generation, and transportation, accounts for 5.1 million avoidable deaths a year globally. These findings were published in The BMJ. The contribution of fossil fuels equates to 61% of a total estimated 8.3 million deaths worldwide due to outdoor air pollution from all sources in 2019. The new estimates of fossil fuel-related deaths are larger than most previously reported values, suggesting that phasing out fossil fuels might have a greater impact on attributable mortality than previously thought.
 
Airlines Race Toward a Future of Powering Their Jets With Corn Airlines Race Toward a Future of Powering Their Jets With Corn

Corn is a water-intensive crop and it can take hundreds of gallons to produce a single gallon of ethanol. But as airlines embrace the idea of ethanol, prompting lobbyists for ethanol makers and corn growers alike to push for clean-energy tax credits in Washington, vital aquifers face serious risks.

Mark my words, the next 20 years, farmers are going to provide 95 percent of all the sustainable airline fuel,” President Biden said in July. This year a New York Times data investigation found that groundwater is being dangerously depleted nationwide, largely by agricultural overuse. As climate change makes rainfall less reliable and intensifies droughts, rising demand for ethanol could put even more pressure on America’s fragile aquifers to be used for irrigation.

Scientific studies have long questioned whether ethanol made from corn is in fact more climate-friendly than fossil fuels. Among other things, corn requires a huge amount of land, and it absorbs relatively little carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere as it grows. Planting, fertilizing, watering, harvesting, transporting and distilling corn into ethanol all requires energy, most of which currently comes from fossil fuels.
 
Mark my words, the next 20 years, farmers are going to provide 95 percent of all the sustainable airline fuel,” President Biden said in July.
Interesting...for those of us that keep up with battery technologies, it seems they have about maybe 10 years until batteries will be energy dense enough for air travel. We are close to hitting that 500 Wh/kg, no?
 
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Methane is not as widely discussed as the carbon dioxide that results from burning fossil fuels, but it has become a rare area of progress this week at the global talks. It is the second-most abundant greenhouse gas after carbon dioxide. Methane only lingers in the atmosphere about a decade after it is released, but it is about 80 times more powerful in the short term at trapping heat than carbon dioxide, which remains in the air for centuries. Scientists say methane is responsible for more than a quarter of the warming that the planet has experienced since the preindustrial era. Cutting methane, they say, is essential to meeting the global goal of limiting warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius, a goal set in the Paris Agreement to avoid the worst effects of global warming, and acting now can help buy the planet time as nations grapple with the more contentious problem of slashing carbon dioxide emissions.
 
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We are close to hitting that 500 Wh/kg, no?

~500Wh/kg is barely adequate for Cessna 152 replacements. I.e. payloads around 1/3 ton, cruise speeds <100 knots and stage lengths of 1.5 hours + IFR reserves.

I did some really rough math and came up with values of 5000+Wh/kg (an order of magnitude more than what you're talking about) for Airbus 380 class aircraft and missions. Somebody needs to solve the rechargeability problem for lithium air batteries to make that class practical. And that's taking credit for some serious planform efficiency improvements like box wings and/or blended wing body that airlines and airports aren't real fond of.
 

This new order "sets the tone and tells utilities, 'We're not messing around with renewable natural gas, and we're going to be transitioning most of your customers off of gas,'" said Caitlin Peele Sloan, vice president of the Conservation Law Foundation in Massachusetts.

At its heart, the order is a strategy to help steer the state toward a cleaner energy system that is safe, reliable and affordable for all. It says that utilities can't charge gas customers for new gas infrastructure if there are viable non-gas alternatives. It changes the existing cost recovery process that incentivizes adding new gas customers. And it prohibits utilities from using ratepayer money to "promote" natural gas. "I really do think that this is potentially the most transformative climate decision in Massachusetts history," said Kyle Murray, a senior Massachusetts advocate with the Acadia Center, a climate advocacy and research group. "The department really looked at everything and delivered a decision that is well thought out [and follows] the science and data and the available information."
 
U.S. exporting record amounts of of oil and gas, send prices downward.

There are conflicting needs, strategic and environmental. It's only a problem if the environmental policies aren't pursued.
 

Cop28 organisers granted attendance to at least 475 lobbyists working on carbon capture and storage (CCS), unproven technologies that climate scientists say will not curtail global heating, the Guardian can reveal.

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and other climate scientists agree that phasing out oil, gas and coal is the only path to curtailing global heating to somewhere near 1.5C above pre-industrial levels, and that CCUS and other unproven niche technologies are a delaying tactic and a distraction that could, at best, contribute to a very limited extent.

Lili Fuhr, the director of Ciel’s fossil economy programme, said: “The force with which the fossil fuel industry and their allies are coming to Dubai to sell the idea that we can ‘capture’ or ‘manage’ their carbon pollution is a sign of their desperation. CCS is the fossil fuel industry’s lifeline and it is also their latest excuse and delay tactic.
 

In the past week almost 120 global leaders have pledged to triple the world’s renewable energy capacity before 2030 in a bold attempt to slash the global consumption of fossil fuels.

Tripling the world’s renewables would halve the global demand for coal power by 2030, according to estimates, which would deliver almost half the reductions in methane – a potent greenhouse gas – needed from the coalmining sector this decade.