Given that you think Ukraine are about to win, you will well know that Putin is in no position to threaten Poland let alone a Poland that is in NATO.
This is a tough guy reminding us how tough he is. Positioning himself to get a decent deal.
We are the mediators so we suggest a deal. Half the captured lands go back to Ukraine. Some sanctions are lifted with good behaviour.
Putin gets an off ramp. West unofficially never do very much business with them going forwards (and limit trade with those that are).
Once Russia becomes a decent democratic state then some reparations can be sought in exchange for all sanctions being lifted.
What I see in that comment is more a veiled threat than a gambit for negotiation. More a "we made you and we can destroy you" than a "let's talk".
Don't hold your breath for Russia to become a democratic state. The bulk of Russians associate democracy with chaos. The one time Russia tried a (flawed) form of democracy, the country had a decade of complete chaos, the 90s. It left a bad taste in the mouth for anyone who lived through it.
Life in the west was generally pretty good in the 90s. The internet boom combined with the end of the cold war made life pretty good for a lot of the west. The former Warsaw Pact countries didn't fare as well, but it was a time of optimism now that the big bad Soviets were gone.
In Russia the situation was very different. They were trying democracy, sort of, but the country was in utter chaos as basically organized crime seized all the assets of the Soviet Union. On paper everyone had an ownership right, the criminals were getting people to give up their rights for pennies.
Putin was seen as a great stabilizing force in Russia. He calmed the chaos and the country settled into a new reality.
If Russia breaks up some of the new countries might try democracy if they come into the influence of the west, but the attitude toward democracy among most Russians is very negative.
There is a notion in a lot of people in the west that democracy is inevitable if people are given a chance. The reality is that if left to their own devices countries tend to devolve into dictatorships. They may have some trappings of democracy, but an actual liberal democracy is not natural and needs to be nurtured. It's now the norm in the developed world, but that happened because of a lot of work after WW I and later WW II.
If I have offended - apologies. Isn't there usually a mediator in these things?
Putin's soldiers have actually raped women. Just trying to stop it. Not that I think either side is taking too many notes on TMC threads.
Everywhere Ukraine has taken back territory, they have found that the Russians were brutal overlords in the territories they controlled. Torture, rape, summary executions, and other atrocities were the norm in any territory they held. That's almost certainly going on in the occupied territories today.
That will continue in the occupied territories if Ukraine gives up any of its sovereign territory to end the war. If this war doesn't end with a clear cut defeat of Russia with the country basically rendered incapable of returning, Putin or his successor will just take the time of peace to rearm and will be back in a few years.
That's why Ukraine considers the return of the 1991 borders a non-negotiable peace term. They don't think it's acceptable that any Ukrainians be left in the torture chamber.
This came out a couple of days ago. It's a discussion about how this war ends with a number of diplomats including Fiona Hill.
There is no mediation in unconditional surrender
Unconditional surrender is rare in warfare and that is almost certainly not how this war will end. Political collapse in Russia is a possible scenario where this ends, but that isn't unconditional surrender which would involve Ukraine occupying Russia.
Training for combined arms is tough. Countries rarely get much better at it while at war. The US did during WW II, but it also took a long time to train up new units. For example the 106th Infantry Division was a green unit just arrived in theater in December 1944 and it was the 1st unit the Germans contacted in the Ardennes Offensive (Battle of the Bulge). The unit was created on paper in 1942 and began to come together in March 1943. It wasn't deployed until the end of 1944. Even with 18 months of training their performance in combat was poor.
The Ukrainians haven't been able to take those kind of time scales to put together their units.
I beautiful delivery of Putin's "off ramp"
Though that must be old. Marin stepped down about a year ago.