My biggest downside concern is that margins come in worse than expectations, and Elon doing his usual routine. I'm also mindful that this is our first earnings call without Zachary Kirkhorn since he came in as CFO. Zach was a great voice on the earnings calls that will be missed.
I'm now positioned as follows:
20x 10/13 -c275s - these are rolled up from -c270s before close yesterday at a net profit, but paid an $0.84 debit to do so. Wanted to get a bit further away from the stock price in case of a bullish market reaction to CPI.
10x 10/27 +p230s - these are rolled up from +p200s.
40x 11/17 +p200s - no change.
10x 12/15 -c300s - a new defensive position that I'm okay having to deal with if needed. Not looking to sell shares here necessarily, but okay with managing from this point.
At this point, I will look to open a deep OTM 10/20 covered call position if the stock rises substantially between now and earnings. Not interested in current premiums right now, though.
If the stock shoots up post-earnings, that's great for my financial situation and I have plenty of contracts that I can write at much higher strikes to take advantage. If it shoots down, I can close out my covered calls for pennies and hopefully make a profit on long puts. If it trades sideways my long puts will expire worthless but I'll happily harvest the theta and IV crush on my covered calls. I'm fairly happy with my positioning at the moment.