you were right for 2023
the 1st/2nd/3rd week after LEAPS Expiry were all green weeks
in the last 6 years, "2 weeks after LEAPS" is green
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Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House
- Thread starter adiggs
- Start date
the 1st/2nd/3rd week after LEAPS Expiry were all green weeks
in the last 6 years, "2 weeks after LEAPS" is green
Very funny… the last time I went to Vegas “with a friend”, he was technically living in a tent in Joshua tree, driving a beaten up Celica, taking all his meals at Taco Bell… after six days in Vegas, he left with 2M.My last trip to Vegas with friends a newbie to the town with us was sure he was coming having "figured out a system"
It was basically just the same nonsensical martingale system folks have been going broke with for centuries, that he "figured out"
Rather than try and show him the math, which I knew he'd ignore, I showed him the strip... and said "See all those glittering multi-billion dollar casinos? They were all built with the losses of all the people who came here before you sure they 'figured out a system'"
I mean.... he STILL didn't listen... and went broke... but that's why the be the house bit is in the thread title
Went back to the tent.
Never finished that masters at MIT.
And for the run into 2024:
T-3: -4.42%
T-2: -7.93%
What would be interesting is to know where the SP was coming into T0 and what Max P was for that week, and whether the SP moved closer to MP or away from it
Musskiah
DisGruntled
Thank you so much for graphing this
I'm more into learning than being right, but Ill take it anyway! The first thing that caught my eye in the graph is that T+2 week. Looks like a probable time to bet the upside.It may be interesting to graph T-6,T-5, T-4 & T+4,+5,+6...see if there is any grokable info
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Musskiah
DisGruntled
Musskiah
DisGruntled
Useful nugget to consider going into the next couple of weeks (speaking to myself):
“Place your entries where the masses place their stops.” —David Paul
Buying at support and selling at resistance can be difficult even for the best. Now may be the time to exercise those muscles, responsibly of course.
“Place your entries where the masses place their stops.” —David Paul
Buying at support and selling at resistance can be difficult even for the best. Now may be the time to exercise those muscles, responsibly of course.
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Dude's a gamer and was thinking Single-player and Multiplayer.
Huh, I thought it was Max Plaid.
Clearly there’s some friction going on with the board, and it makes me happy.
Well if you listen to the media, Elon is a big problem for Tesla, so maybe the stock should pop +10%!
So maybe it drops, then Elon tweets, "nah, I'll never leave Tesla", and then it reverses
But I'm not reading too much into it as of yet
One interesting point though, when did you last see a Tesla director sell shares? Used to be very regularly, but can't recall any for a while now...
Not sure how the institutions will react to the tweet, is it really that bad? If they dump and the stampede feeds on itself then sayonara to short puts and long calls, echoes of January 2022.
I plan to eye cutting my longs and recently bought +C LEAPS at open if we get a bloody red bar from hades and stay out until there’s more clarity about what’s coming next.
Never a dull moment!
I plan to eye cutting my longs and recently bought +C LEAPS at open if we get a bloody red bar from hades and stay out until there’s more clarity about what’s coming next.
Never a dull moment!
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