tivoboy
Active Member
Maybe this is EM tipping us off that they SOLD all their BTC in the Q. (hopefully, at 49k) and went long DOGE? One would be good, one would be disasterous - for the stock at least.
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Maybe this is EM tipping us off that they SOLD all their BTC in the Q. (hopefully, at 49k) and went long DOGE? One would be good, one would be disasterous - for the stock at least.
Since master of coin left- would be good to sell BTC for sureMaybe this is EM tipping us off that they SOLD all their BTC in the Q. (hopefully, at 49k) and went long DOGE? One would be good, one would be disasterous - for the stock at least.
I think I will do -175/+180 for Feb 2 (or 180/185). Keeping it a little narrower for less cost/risk. Still a nice $5 gain potentially (minus premium). It would be nice to open on a pop to make it even cheaper.My play for the Put side to form a complete straddle.
If ER is bad - the pain should be swift. 20x upside. Cheap play. Going out more OTM is cheaper but reduce the % of hitting the number by Feb 2.
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Note - if SP trade sideway straddle will be busted. But combined 500 investment for 20-30x upside is peanuts. Not many ER come along as hot or with much anticipation as this one is.
SPY 7DTE 6-8% OTM appears to be safe (backtested to 2020)7DTE of mag7 + major indices
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conclusion: SPY appears to be the least violent 7DTE
(perhaps best for IC)
i am going to examine the chain if it's worth it shifting some trades over to SPY... less income but seems to be less risky
Yes! Deeply oversold RSI predicts a large move. In addition, whenever the 50DMA (green) settles between the 100 and 200, it is indication the spring has coiled, and we get a large move. It's coming!
Super informative, thank you! Easy to see that AI, digital and cloud services companies are there, but no car companies.
looking at ATM +/- 10 strikes: NVDA gives the best premiums, followed by TSLASPY 7DTE 6-8% OTM appears to be safe (backtested to 2020)
like TSLA, higher chance of breach on calls than on puts
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This is absolute premium and not normalized right? I.e given that nvda is almost 3x tsla, you can get almost 3x the premium given the same capital.looking at ATM +/- 10 strikes: NVDA gives the best premiums, followed by TSLA
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for a 6-delta, 30-wide ICThis is absolute premium and not normalized right? I.e given that nvda is almost 3x tsla, you can get almost 3x the premium given the same capital.
To be fair, also lower highs since July, so...Another interesting view, though I realize one can make a chart look however they want (i.e., counting the “artificial” 2023 low as part of a trend). But even without that we got an uptrend with slightly rangebound action.
View attachment 1010954(Credit: Jake Wu)
Up or down?Yes! Deeply oversold RSI predicts a large move. In addition, whenever the 50DMA (green) settles between the 100 and 200, it is indication the spring has coiled, and we get a large move. It's coming!View attachment 1010943
Good point, for trading covered calls or cash-secured puts, TSLA is almost 2x better than NVDA for ROIC, but for spreads the share price is irrelevantfor a 6-delta, 30-wide IC
27% more income for the same capital (if spreads)
- NVDA would give 1.18
- TSLA would give 0.93
but the NVDA swings are too wide, so 6-delta is probably risky
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YesUp or down?
sideway too? Oh my - where we go?
what trading platform is this graphic from?
thinkorswimwhat trading platform is this graphic from?