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Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

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In other words it suck. Coming from bootlicker mean it really bad.
Just like everyone thought v12 would suck compared to v11 because it took so long and many dot releases to employees before public.

Go back to what Elon said about every major release in which a new model has been trained. Takes a few months to round off the edges.
 
Did Elon just leak the results? 😲

“So far, roughly 90% of retail shareholders who have voted have voted in favor of both resolutions. The public sentiment is unequivocally supportive.”

Anyone know the ratio of retail/institution? This says 46%. If so seems the vote is in the bag with Baron and several other big funds voting in favor and we take off Monday?

UPDATE: Nevermind, it only means 90% of those who voted have voted in favor. Not that 90% of retail shareholders did. So it’s not telling much.

View attachment 1054885
So this is what I'm seeing on IBKR:

1717974363556.png
 
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For the weekend:

How do you explain this?

Apple, $AAPL, has $380 billion in annual revenue and $125 billion in annual EBITDA with a $3 trillion market cap.

Nvidia, $NVDA, has $80 billion in annual revenue and $50 billion in annual EBTIDA with a $3 trillion market cap.

In other words, Nvidia and Apple have the same market cap but Apple has 5 TIMES more revenue.

Apple also has roughly 2.5 TIMES the EBITDA of Nvidia.

Is Apple too cheap or is Nvidia too expensive?

The most logical answer is that the market highly values growth.

Nvidia’s is trading like its growth potential is almost limitless.

Yet another reason AI companies are seeing massive premiums in this market.

(Credit: Kobeissi)
Nvidia, just like Tesla when at ATH, is a high risk low upside stock. One or a few earnings report with decrease growth or margins due to competition or a slow down in sales will see share price drop hundreds of billions in market cap. Those pointing to a low forward PE has growth expectations priced in and can change like the wind at any moment.
 
Beijing announced in late April that buyers of EVs which replace their petrol cars will receive a subsidy of 10,000 yuan (US$1,380) and the incentive will be offered until the year-end.

 
Thinking about NVDA for next week; the talking heads say volatility generally increases after a split, but I assume there is a time delay between the IV increase and the split "all else remaining constant" and assuming a spherical cow...

So do options reflect this quickly on speculation of volatility increase, or does the volatility need to play out first?

I am thinking Monday trades are higher risk (spherical cows and all), but would love input anyone has.
 
Thinking about NVDA for next week; the talking heads say volatility generally increases after a split, but I assume there is a time delay between the IV increase and the split "all else remaining constant" and assuming a spherical cow...

So do options reflect this quickly on speculation of volatility increase, or does the volatility need to play out first?

I am thinking Monday trades are higher risk (spherical cows and all), but would love input anyone has.
All things being equal, there will be 10x more volume, does that in crease IV?

Let's see how the split goes, the first TSLA split was a disaster, took several days for the option positions to be correct, although the second split seemed to be OK and the GOOGL split was fine as well, so hopefully it's smooth
 

Bernstein Warns Tesla CEO’s $56B Pay Package Faces Tough Shareholder Vote - EV​

Written by Cláudio Afonso | LinkedIn | X

Bernstein analysts have expressed doubts about the approval of Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s $56 billion pay package, suggesting it is unlikely to pass the upcoming shareholder vote this Thursday.

According to the latest research note, approximately 25 percent of the eligible voting shares are either held by passive investors who are likely to follow the “no” recommendations from influential proxy advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis or by institutional investors who have already publicly stated their intention to vote against the package.

The company has historically seen a maximum voter turnout of 63 percent in any shareholder vote. Bernstein posits that even if this turnout significantly increases to 75 percent, more than 73 percent of the remaining uncommitted voters would need to vote in favor of the pay package for it to be approved.

On a more optimistic note, the firm suggests that the chances of Tesla’s proposed re-domestication to Texas being approved are higher, although still uncertain.

Bernstein highlights the financial implications of the potential rejection of Musk’s pay package. If blocked, Tesla‘s diluted share count could decrease by 9 percent, leading to a 10 percent increase in earnings per share.

However, the analyst warns that a rejection might trigger a 5 percent or more drop in Tesla’s stock due to concerns over Musk possibly leaving the company.

Despite these concerns, retail shareholders have shown strong support for Musk. “So far, roughly 90 percent of retail shareholders who have voted have voted in favor of both resolutions. The public sentiment is unequivocally supportive,” Musk stated on social media platform X on Sunday.

Bernstein maintains an Underperform rating on Tesla with a price target of $120. The firm believes investors may be underestimating the risk of Musk’s pay package being rejected, making the risk/reward scenario ahead of the shareholder vote skewed towards the downside.

Tesla registered a significant decrease drop sales in Germany last month, with registrations plummeting by 64 percent year-over-year, according to data released by the German Federal Motor Transport Association (KBA).

The overall registration of passenger cars in Germany fell to 236,425 units in May, marking declines both month-over-month and year-over-year.

This includes battery electric vehicles (BEVs), which comprised 12.6 percent of new registrations, totaling 29,708 units. This figure represents a substantial 30.6 percent decline compared to May 2023.

Written by Cláudio Afonso | LinkedIn | X
 

Bernstein Warns Tesla CEO’s $56B Pay Package Faces Tough Shareholder Vote - EV​

Written by Cláudio Afonso | LinkedIn | X

Bernstein analysts have expressed doubts about the approval of Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s $56 billion pay package, suggesting it is unlikely to pass the upcoming shareholder vote this Thursday.

According to the latest research note, approximately 25 percent of the eligible voting shares are either held by passive investors who are likely to follow the “no” recommendations from influential proxy advisory firms ISS and Glass Lewis or by institutional investors who have already publicly stated their intention to vote against the package.

The company has historically seen a maximum voter turnout of 63 percent in any shareholder vote. Bernstein posits that even if this turnout significantly increases to 75 percent, more than 73 percent of the remaining uncommitted voters would need to vote in favor of the pay package for it to be approved.

On a more optimistic note, the firm suggests that the chances of Tesla’s proposed re-domestication to Texas being approved are higher, although still uncertain.

Bernstein highlights the financial implications of the potential rejection of Musk’s pay package. If blocked, Tesla‘s diluted share count could decrease by 9 percent, leading to a 10 percent increase in earnings per share.

However, the analyst warns that a rejection might trigger a 5 percent or more drop in Tesla’s stock due to concerns over Musk possibly leaving the company.

Despite these concerns, retail shareholders have shown strong support for Musk. “So far, roughly 90 percent of retail shareholders who have voted have voted in favor of both resolutions. The public sentiment is unequivocally supportive,” Musk stated on social media platform X on Sunday.

Bernstein maintains an Underperform rating on Tesla with a price target of $120. The firm believes investors may be underestimating the risk of Musk’s pay package being rejected, making the risk/reward scenario ahead of the shareholder vote skewed towards the downside.

Tesla registered a significant decrease drop sales in Germany last month, with registrations plummeting by 64 percent year-over-year, according to data released by the German Federal Motor Transport Association (KBA).

The overall registration of passenger cars in Germany fell to 236,425 units in May, marking declines both month-over-month and year-over-year.

This includes battery electric vehicles (BEVs), which comprised 12.6 percent of new registrations, totaling 29,708 units. This figure represents a substantial 30.6 percent decline compared to May 2023.

Written by Cláudio Afonso | LinkedIn | X

They genuinely think Elon's compensation is less likely to pass as a vote than reincorporation into Texas? Despite the fact abstaining on the latter automatically means "no" whereas for the former it doesn't? I think they've get their head in the clouds - or they know something nobody else does and should be considered Tesla investment gods we should worship. 🤔
 
They genuinely think Elon's compensation is less likely to pass as a vote than reincorporation into Texas? Despite the fact abstaining on the latter automatically means "no" whereas for the former it doesn't? I think they've get their head in the clouds - or they know something nobody else does and should be considered Tesla investment gods we should worship. 🤔
Ah, the good old Bernstein Bears... Given that Musk already said >90% of retail votes already counted were in favour... of course can be that only 10% of retail has voted, we don't know

I also find it astonishing that Musk is permitted to reveal such information while the voting is still open
 
Bernstein highlights the financial implications of the potential rejection of Musk’s pay package. If blocked, Tesla‘s diluted share count could decrease by 9 percent, leading to a 10 percent increase in earnings per share.

However, the analyst warns that a rejection might trigger a 5 percent or more drop in Tesla’s stock due to concerns over Musk possibly leaving the company.
Id pay close attention to these 2.
concern over Elon leaving is just that, a concern. a 10% float reduction is very real, in contrast.