Cost basis at $140 from just about 2 years ago. It's just tricky-- for me it would be an accumulation/profit protection move (something versus nothing). I feel like we are too close to a catalyst with Model 3 around the corner.
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Cost basis at $140 from just about 2 years ago. It's just tricky-- for me it would be an accumulation/profit protection move (something versus nothing). I feel like we are too close to a catalyst with Model 3 around the corner.
A little perspective here...
Amazon and Netflix both have had their plunges, but there is life after a 4Q ER. Amazon is up 3% today and Netflix 4% today. What's holding TSLA back is the uncertainty about the ER. Let's get it done and move forward.
Remember, too, that a number of analysts have been reiterating their $300+ price targets this week. Clearly, Tesla has many followers who believe the 12-18 month time frame will yield a stock price that is quite acceptable to those of us who are heavily invested. Nobody knows whether today's ER and CC will yield positive or negative results, but it's time to address the uncertainty, take the medicine, if it is dealt to us, and then start moving upward again.
Amazon and Netflix both have had their plunges, but there is life after a 4Q ER. Amazon is up 3% today and Netflix 4% today. What's holding TSLA back is the uncertainty about the ER. Let's get it done and move forward.
Remember, too, that a number of analysts have been reiterating their $300+ price targets this week. Clearly, Tesla has many followers who believe the 12-18 month time frame will yield a stock price that is quite acceptable to those of us who are heavily invested. Nobody knows whether today's ER and CC will yield positive or negative results, but it's time to address the uncertainty, take the medicine, if it is dealt to us, and then start moving upward again.
I said this earlier (before a 50 point drop...) but there is a strategic value in NOT guiding for the stars for this ER. The stock is already in the toilet and they don't need to raise cash this instant. Later this year would be nice to keep investing. As a thought experiment, if Elon and his team would try to game the stock which may not even be the case, the worst thing you could do was to guide for a tippy-top 2016 deliveries and best case model X forecast, best case TE forecast, etc. Then they have another year of fighting the market expectations when they almost miss or barely make really impressive goals.
Instead, they might want to guide reasonable, achievable, dare I say easy goals and take one big hit now. Then they can issue 2-3 beats in subsequent quarters. Or put everything into one super beat Q1 or Q2 announcement that would scream "squeeze shorts here". Of course at this point, a stratospheric rise might be to 200...
The single WORST thing they could do is guide for the very tippy-top of what they can really do and the market punishes them anyway because they didn't produce rabbits from their posterior. Now they can't win no matter what they do.
Before this big selloff I expected a reasonable chance they would tank this one, take the stock price hit and set up shorts for mid year. But now things are so low if they tank the Q4 ER we could see $100 then "winning" is what, $150?
Sigh...
Instead, they might want to guide reasonable, achievable, dare I say easy goals and take one big hit now. Then they can issue 2-3 beats in subsequent quarters. Or put everything into one super beat Q1 or Q2 announcement that would scream "squeeze shorts here". Of course at this point, a stratospheric rise might be to 200...
The single WORST thing they could do is guide for the very tippy-top of what they can really do and the market punishes them anyway because they didn't produce rabbits from their posterior. Now they can't win no matter what they do.
Before this big selloff I expected a reasonable chance they would tank this one, take the stock price hit and set up shorts for mid year. But now things are so low if they tank the Q4 ER we could see $100 then "winning" is what, $150?
Sigh...
hockeythug
Active Member
Bloomberg and Marketwatch are huge offenders of manipulating graphs.
This was another recent good one from Marketwatch (non TSLA related):
McMuggets
Member
At first, I though they just started at the 300 line (which would be misleading in its own way. But looking closer, it appears that the lines don't represent any numbers. It technically not even a chart,, WTF is wrong with media.
The Blue Owl
Endangerous Herbivore
Bloomberg just realized that 312 is 1/5th of 596 and they want to educate investors. That's their mission!
FredTMC
Model S VIN #4925
Good luck to all the Longs!
strange that TSLA volume is less today than recent days (not including AH)
strange that TSLA volume is less today than recent days (not including AH)
phigment
Member
dreamingof3
Member
Stock is making me sick. Down 5 more.
Why would Elon be open to making Tesla supercharging stations available to all electric cars not just Tesla?
Earnings must really suck. :cursing:
Why would Elon be open to making Tesla supercharging stations available to all electric cars not just Tesla?
Earnings must really suck. :cursing:
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FredTMC
Model S VIN #4925
Just following market sell off in final hour. The is move will be eclipsed by AH move
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