Emil
Member
Pretty impressive.Looks like my post with some pix of lines at stores in China got lost during the down of TMC. Here you go again.
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Pretty impressive.Looks like my post with some pix of lines at stores in China got lost during the down of TMC. Here you go again.
I figured "mulder"1231 would think it's a conspiracy (X files music in the background...). Sorry, I know, off topic, doesn't belong in short-term thread... couldn't resist...
How long did it take for everyone in line to reserve? I might show up at my store sooner rather than later if I know I won't have to wait.I just visited Tesla in Stockholm (Taby) and I counted 87 people in the queue as the store was opening, more than I expected!
How long did it take for everyone in line to reserve? I might show up at my store sooner rather than later if I know I won't have to wait.
If there are 40-50k in person, how many online at 8:30 Pacific? I would guess 2x, somewhat conservatively - especially with Model S &X owners and potential "fleet". Any oddsmakers out there want to set the line on an Over/Under of 150k reservations by market open Friday?According to The Guardian, there were 200 in store reservations in Sydney. Averaging this out for 210 stores would yield 42K first-day reservations. This would be on top of the employee reservations. Less than I speculated earlier (300 per store), but very impressive nevertheless.
Nice job of tempering expectations, Ben Kallo (in interview on CNBC he speculated 15K reservations in "weeks" rather than three years as happened for Model S) - we need a good positive surprise!
According to The Guardian, there were 200 in store reservations in Sydney. Averaging this out for 210 stores would yield 42K first-day reservations. This would be on top of the employee reservations. Less than I speculated earlier (300 per store), but very impressive nevertheless.
Nice job of tempering expectations, Ben Kallo (in interview on CNBC he speculated 15K reservations in "weeks" rather than three years as happened for Model S) - we need a good positive surprise!
How long did it take for everyone in line to reserve? I might show up at my store sooner rather than later if I know I won't have to wait.
If there are 40-50k in person, how many online at 8:30 Pacific? I would guess 2x, somewhat conservatively - especially with Model S &X owners and potential "fleet". Any oddsmakers out there want to set the line on an Over/Under of 150k reservations by market open Friday?
I'll take the over.
So FWIW on call spreads and short term positions.. A few things concern me on the charts, especially as we are looking at EOM today. First off, I would feel a bit better about this if we didn't open this morning with a gap -- it's still premarket, but I don't like seeing gaps in an already volatile stock with downward momentum.
2nd, the 50, 100, and 200DMA indicate we are slightly under, and there is a good chance that trend will continue as RSI indicates a downside.
Fundos: M3 Reveal.. Really though, I do not think the reveal is a macro that will effect the stock price. Actually, a product unveil in any industry rarely directly affects the stock price -- in fact, a stock usually trends horizontal rangebound until a consensus is mounted a few days later. Reservation lines, product unveil, really don't do much for stock movement, rather, they will enforce sentiment when financial numbers are released (please read that last sentence again). Whether you want to believe it or not, this news is already built in to the price right now.
We might start to see upward support by tomorrow, mostly specs that want to position before next week -- especially if one iota of information about S and or X fulfillment numbers are mentioned. I have more confidence there will be several Bull Traps in the next 36 hours than upward momentum -- but that's just what TA points to.
Next week: Expect momentum to the upside, especially because Tesla usually releases Q1 numbers within a few days of Q1 close. That combined with the events this week will likely propel strong support upward. I will have to revisit charts EOW to feel solid in that.
Happy M3 Day! Also, bulls -- remember April Fool's on the upside there is still a massive amount of resistance at 239.7 -- when/if we blow through that support mark, as it stands, there is a strong likelihood of a short squeeze. In fact, short interest aside, this is setting about to be a really big short squeeze. On the downside, beware: There is a gap in the 167 area that has yet to be filled. IMHO all gaps eventually get filled.