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Elon will most likely wait until 2022 since he will be resident of Texas for that year. This way he saves by not paying the higher state tax rates in CA.
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California doesn't release its grip on your income so quickly:

 
Speaking of potential stock split. It’s still impossible without some kind of shareholder meeting/voting right?

People here and there talk about it like it could happen almost out of the blue.

Edit: Afik a 1:1.9 split is possible…

As I've pointed out numerous times, an announcement that a split would be performed pending shareholder approval at a special meeting would have pretty much the same effect as announcing a split that already had enough shares to complete. Because it's a given that shareholders would authorize the additional shares.
 
Why is every anti-Tesla person so thin-skinned? What happened in their childhoods?


I agree with @BlackS - it's free social media advertising.

By asking, "If you were going to buy or lease an electric vehicle right now THAT IS NOT A TESLA I REPEAT THAT IS NOT A TESLA, what would you get?", she's basically admitting it wouldn't even be close, Tesla's would take the top spots. And since the people most knowledgeable about EV's would answer with a Tesla, she wants to remove those choices to see what people think is the fifth best (after Models S,3,X and Y) while still getting the input of Tesla fans. It actually makes a lot of sense, if she let people vote for Tesla's then all the non-Tesla runner-ups would be selected by people ignorant about EV's! :cool:
 
What's the matter with TSLA this year? It's barely budged compared to last year.
12/31/2019 -> 10/31/2020: $83.67 -> $388.04 (+363.8%)
12/31/2020 -> 10/31/2021: $705.67 -> 1114.00 (+57.9%)

If we were on track with last year TSLA would now be at $3272.72. It might be time to notify the Range Safety Officer that something is wrong with the rocket.
 
I don't think it makes any sense to do a 1:1.9 split.

The only feasible move would be to announce a 1:10+ split *pending shareholders approval*.

However, I am more inclined to believe that when that comes, there'd be some huge (positive) string attached.

Because the next logical step would be Dow Jones inclusion and it's price-weighted. So, it's unlikely for TSLA to join DJIA at its current price.
Thus, DJIA can very well invite TSLA to join the index under the condition that they do a stock split to bring the weight down.

At the Annual Meeting Elon was asked this question said it wasn't time to split the stock yet. While anything could happen with a company like Tesla, I think next year (after the two factories have hired a stable crew) would make a lot more sense. Because if the next split resembles the first split, even a little bit, Elon's going to want all his new employees to benefit from it. If the share price is high when they are hired it could take some time for their employee options to start appreciating. Elon likes to take care of his boots on the ground. Anyone with options already issued is looking at some nice appreciation on them already.
 
@MP3Mike @Artful Dodger

Nor accountant, grain of salt
Critical terminology clarification:
9 out of 12 CEO awards "vested", meaning he is eligible to exercise them. Which in this case means shares at ~70 post split. With $70 going to Tesla and a bunch going to taxes (which can be withheld by Tesla). With cost being fixed and taxes being a percentage, the higher the SP is at execution, the more shares Elon ends up with.
This is different than "granted" which would mean he was given them (as unexecuted options with SP-$70 value). "Grant" as used in the CEO plan refers in majority to the plan itself.

At this point, he has no 2018 CEO plan linked assets to tax.
Term of CEO Performance Award / Post-Termination of Employment Exercise Period. The term of the CEO Performance Award is 10 years from the date of the grant, unless Mr. Musk’s employment with Tesla is terminated prior to such date. Accordingly, Mr. Musk has until January 20, 2028 to exercise any portion of the CEO Performance Award that has vested on or prior to such date, provided that he remains employed at Tesla. Additionally, Mr. Musk has up to one year following the termination of his employment with Tesla to exercise any portion of the CEO Performance Award that vested prior to such termination, subject to any earlier expiration of the CEO Performance Award on January 20, 2028. Further, the CEO Performance Award also may terminate earlier in connection with a change in control event of Tesla, as described further below.


Post-Exercise Holding Period. Mr. Musk must hold shares that he acquires upon exercise of the CEO Performance Award for five years post-exercise (except for shares used to pay exercise price and tax withholdings, or in certain other limited circumstances described further below).
 
The Hertz deal finally made me Understand Tesla and the bears vs bulls. I will quote a bear:
marketcap up~$50b on a ~$4b order.
will be interesting to see how they convert that order into free cash flow to the shareholders at a 1250% margin.

This is how the bears see the company. A long string of one time events that are totally unconnected. Events of the type that don’t in any meaningful way indicate that there will be other in the future.

What the bulls see is that Tesla somehow has some different properties than other companies that will lead to many other of these events in the future. That each one time event validates the thesis of this difference and leads to an increased likelihood of other one time events in the future.

Let take a kid T. T won the spelling bee competition, was in the final of Genius Junior and scored near max on SAT. Now it’s time for MCAT. How will the kid do? Expected to make an average score? Slightly above average? Top percentile?

This is Tesla. They have confounded the bears at every step, the bears thought they would score poorly on deliveries but they suprised them at every yearly test. The bears thought they would score low at operating margins, but they scored increasingly high at the last few tests. Then suddenly they win the Hertz competition, that was very unexpected nobody saw that one coming. So what does this say about Tesla? The bears think it doesn’t mean aning, Hertz was just a $4B order, nothing more. The main upcoming test is the 5M vehicles in 2025 test, Hertz test is to the spelling bee test, as the 5M deliveries 2025 test is to the MCAT test.

The bulls they think that the previous tests validates their thesis that the Tesla kid is different. That the Tesla kid is brilliant and good at winning competitions and scoring well at test and will do spectacular in the future. When they here these kids, this is how they feel that Tesla is compared to legacy car companies:
 
I have an early press release of President Biden's speech for the climate conference in Galsgow, (paraphrasing): "We targeted the one company that is doing the most for climate change and specifically wrote legislation to tax the one individual in charge of this company so we can continue doing nothing for climate change. This person wants to take humanity to Mars, and saves the US 8 to 9 figures of US taxpayer dollars for each launch, which gives us extra motivation to tax the head of this company as well. This will ensure the US will remain solvent by making sure that this one individual will stay on earth. Now lets all hold hands and buy more oil."
Here is a follow up about the holding hands and buying more oil part:
 
The Hertz deal finally made me Understand Tesla and the bears vs bulls. I will quote a bear:


This is how the bears see the company. A long string of one time events that are totally unconnected. Events of the type that don’t in any meaningful way indicate that there will be other in the future.

What the bulls see is that Tesla somehow has some different properties than other companies that will lead to many other of these events in the future. That each one time event validates the thesis of this difference and leads to an increased likelihood of other one time events in the future.

Let take a kid T. T won the spelling bee competition, was in the final of Genius Junior and scored near max on SAT. Now it’s time for MCAT. How will the kid do? Expected to make an average score? Slightly above average? Top percentile?

This is Tesla. They have confounded the bears at every step, the bears thought they would score poorly on deliveries but they suprised them at every yearly test. The bears thought they would score low at operating margins, but they scored increasingly high at the last few tests. Then suddenly they win the Hertz competition, that was very unexpected nobody saw that one coming. So what does this say about Tesla? The bears think it doesn’t mean aning, Hertz was just a $4B order, nothing more. The main upcoming test is the 5M vehicles in 2025 test, Hertz test is to the spelling bee test, as the 5M deliveries 2025 test is to the MCAT test.

The bulls they think that the previous tests validates their thesis that the Tesla kid is different. That the Tesla kid is brilliant and good at winning competitions and scoring well at test and will do spectacular in the future. When they here these kids, this is how they feel that Tesla is compared to legacy car companies:
no way you can see what you refuse to see

or

592E31ED-E279-401D-B415-B9DE7AD12BFF.jpeg
 
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No unit limit, but since Ford and GM can just bolt a 10kWh battery and tiny motor onto any existing platform and collect more money than Tesla’s full BEVs, Tesla is not likely to collect the majority of the $$.

Within 2 years, every car, truck, van, and hamster is going to be a PHEV.

The only saving grace is they are still going to keep losing market share every year to Tesla; likely until they go out of business.
Yes, but we need to acknowledge that this UAW pork handout will slow real change. It will make people feel good that they "did their part" by buying a hybrid and they'll receive a fat credit for doing it. It slows the real transition away from oil, costs US taxpayers to do so, and rewards legacy manufacturers for continuing total idiots. Bravo!