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i dont see why anyone but the shortest of short-term investors would care about your point. it's clear it's getting removed from production.

Because that's factually untrue.

It's clear they INTEND to remove it, if validation works out the way they hope.

The times Tesla clearly INTENDED something regarding FSD, but it ended up not working out and had to back up and change direction, including things related to hardware is a number larger than 0. Arguably significantly more than 0.


I think separating what has actually happened so far (removing from website) and what we hope MIGHT happen if the rest tests out correctly (removal of HW and accompanying cost savings) is a worthwhile distinction for investors to be aware of.

By all means if you wish to count these specific chickens before they hatch, you do you.
 
It is way better than that. Cost of the radar is >$200 (ask me how I know), mounting brackets ~$40, wiring harness ~$20, engineering time saved with Bosch, install time on the assembly line....lots of savings.
Lol, come on then, spit out a number! (but let's avoid the 'sunk' costs of radar/Autopilot integration; it's costs time and money to remove radar code from the AP build tree, but it's a 1-time expense).

Cheers!
 
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Because that's factually untrue.

It's clear they INTEND to remove it, if validation works out the way they hope.

The times Tesla clearly INTENDED something regarding FSD, but it ended up not working out and had to back up and change direction, including things related to hardware is a number larger than 0. Arguably significantly more than 0.


I think separating what has actually happened so far (removing from website) and what we hope MIGHT happen if the rest tests out correctly (removal of HW and accompanying cost savings) is a worthwhile distinction for investors to be aware of.

By all means if you wish to count these specific chickens before they hatch, you do you.

do you think it's a weird coincidence that most of the pointless, pedantic, annoying back-and-forth arguments on here involve you?
 
Yes, we do:


GreenTheOnly on Twitter has been a valuable asset for prying into Tesla Vision under the hood.
Very cool. I just pointed Google Lens at both my 3 and X. Lens correctly identifies both, but does not *yet* show color identification. Great to see that Tesla is pushing towards deeper understanding of cars. Once you know that, you can treat them accordingly (i.e. you know the dimensions of the vehicle and can give them appropriate space). Exact space is hard in NN as everything is an estimate/guess/prediction as a % of confidence.
 
Because that's factually untrue.

It's clear they INTEND to remove it, if validation works out the way they hope.

The times Tesla clearly INTENDED something regarding FSD, but it ended up not working out and had to back up and change direction, including things related to hardware is a number larger than 0. Arguably significantly more than 0.


I think separating what has actually happened so far (removing from website) and what we hope MIGHT happen if the rest tests out correctly (removal of HW and accompanying cost savings) is a worthwhile distinction for investors to be aware of.

By all means if you wish to count these specific chickens before they hatch, you do you.
I think you are being overly pedantic on this one, though I applaud the fact that you nearly managed to put two whole sentences together without a bunch of linefeeds. You are acting like no one believes that Tesla can't change their minds on things. But we've also seen a steady progression of discussion of removing radar with fsd beta, to elon confirming that, to elon saying they will remove it in non-fsd, to it being removed from the specs of the car on the website. That implies a growing confidence, and it is reasonable to consider how that will affect the BOM of the car. Sure, it could all be for naught, but I don't think anyone here is making a critical decision based on the potential of removal, just comments on the possible improved margin from the reduced BOM.
 
do you think it's a weird coincidence that most of the pointless, pedantic, annoying back-and-forth arguments on here involve you?


I think there's a certain subset of posters who find facts that don't always paint Tesla in an angellic always-expect-perfect-execution light to be pointless and annoying. In fact there was several pages of discussion of such posters, without a single post from me involved just in the last day or two. So clearly others have noticed this as well. That whole echo chamber thing.

It's a fact Tesla sometimes intends or plans to do something that does not work out. Either it comes much later, or it never comes at all and they decide it was the wrong path to have gone down. So 100% assuming it always works out as intended is not sound thinking for investors or anyone else. One of the things that gives me confidence AS an investor is that Tesla tends to, compared to other companies, realize a plan isn't going to work out sooner than others, and pivots to another direction much more quickly. This reduces the long-term cost of mistakes.... (see in contrast the folks still banging away with LIDAR and HD maps for 10 years- while Tesla has changed direction and hardware multiple times already)... but also suggests one might be cautious about counting the long-term upside of INTENT being the same thing as DONE.

As I said you're free to make your decisions in any way you wish...Hell I even provided you an otherwise unmentioned additional economic benefit if it DOES pass validation- so it's not like I'm arguing there's not significant financial upside IF it passes and goes through to production. But personal disparagement because someone is trying to inject some distinction between "what has actually happened" and "what might happen if and only if safety validation passes" doesn't seem to add value for anyone.
 
I'm pretty sure the packs will be about 10% bigger than that.

Want to estimate Ford's actual production for 2022/23? Find out how many Lightning trucks they'd need to sell in CAFE states to avoid the need to purchase carbon credits.

If Ford deliveries are largely to CAFE states, that's the answer then:

Compliance (not innovation).

Cheers!
 
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Benzinga - 8 minutes ago: Stock for College Grads

Excerpt:

Benzinga spoke with Justin Larson, a high net worth specialist at Fidelity Investments who recommended, “anything out there that has changed the landscape for that sector like Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) or Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL)” as something that might be enticing to a young individual and provide them benefits in the long run.
 
He has the concept correct but using the wrong numbers.

The Q1 low for Bitcoin was $28,722 on Jan 4 but I don't believe that Telsa had purchased Bitcoin by Jan 4. I believe that Tesla purchased Bitcoin around Jan 20-23 and had to write done Bitcoin in Q1 due to the the low on Jan 23 of $31,493.
With a new low of 30,261 on May 19, Tesla takes about a $52m impairment in Q2.
There is no further impairment losses if the price does not go below the May 19 low of $30,261.
So if bitcoin goes from $50k to 33k for example, there is no additional charge to the financial statements as Bitcoin is currently valued at $30,261 per unit on the balance sheet in Q2.

The current $52m charge to Q2 earnings is a non-cash charge and not a significant hit to earnings as I am projecting about $800m in GAAP earnings for Q2.

View attachment 665509
But they sold 10% of the BTC, did they not, so likely 38k BTC, not 42K, no?
 
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Gordon Johnson should be appointed to minister of propaganda somewhere.
He keeps repeating the big lie hoping it gains traction.
He is as believable as this guy.

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I hardly pay attention anymore. Nay, that’s not true. I now dread charging stops.

I drive like I stole it, it automatically routes me to my charging stops, where I rush like a madman to the restroom and then attempt to get some food before the car starts sending me repeated count down messages. Ultimately I end up with a Snickers and have to race back to the car. I curse and vow to be faster next time.

It’s become a competition between me and the car that I don’t relish. I find myself planning trips that will hit V1 chargers, where I have a chance of at least obtaining a hot beverage or bottle of water.

On a serious note, the other day I get in my ICE car and it dings at me. I think to myself: why are you dinging at me? You dinged last time I drove you. I ignore it and off I go to run errands. At my third stop, I get in and this time when it dings at me yet again I get this overwhelming sense of Danger, Will Robinson, Danger!

So I sit there idling and polluting the very air we breathe waiting for the epiphany to come. About two minutes later I glance thru the steering wheel and am surprised to see a cluster of stuff and a light flashing. Then I have a panic attack as I realize it’s the ‘hey, stupid! You’re about to run out of fuel light.

I look to my left and there’s a bank of Superchargers and a wave of relief sweeps through me as I put the car in drive, only to have the panic return full throttle as I realize; you ain’t driving the Tesla, moron!

So, now I’m wracking my brain trying to remember where the closest gas station is at that end of town and I’m drawing a blank. I then remember I can just punch gas station into the comp... No, I can’t!!

In desperation I start driving around and as I’m in search of the elusive gas station my panic turns into anger. Never have I ever run out of gas in my entire life and if I do right now then there’s a divorce on the horizon since clearly this is all my spouse’s fault for being born and needing the Tesla that day.

By the time I find a gas station I’ve hired the best divorce attorney on the planet, acquired all the property including the mountain, the Tesla, and the cat and put my spouse in a cardboard box under an overpass for the rest of their lives.

I pull up to a pump, shut off the car, get a credit card, get out of the car, open the gas cap, go to put my credit card in the pump and Blammo! Ducted tape to the pump is an out of order sign. Have a hissy fit, take away the spouse’s cardboard box, get back in the car and start it up, it DINGS at me and I lose it, cursing in 15 different languages and realizing that’s not enough ways to say what needs to be said and vow to learn the words in at least five more languages.

True story. And the moral is: stop complaining and criticizing, just buy and hold.
You are a natural writer, when does the book come out? :cool:
 
Gordon Johnson should be appointed to minister of propaganda somewhere.
He keeps repeating the big lie hoping it gains traction.
I fully expect him to be correct. Eventually.

For example, in 2033, when Tesla will have declining annualized sales down to 24M from 24.5M, well, expect a correction to say the least.

Of course, that will be because of the cars in transit to Mars which will not count until they actually arrive and the paperwork is signed. But you are going to have to give it up to him at that point.

Who said timing is everything, anyway?
 
Several months ago I wrote a post which garnered most negative response from this forum. I would like to reiterate what I said in that post:

"IF, and IF Tesla starts to use LIDAR or whatever technology, then I think it actually showed the strength of Tesla instead of anything otherwise"

People thought I was wasting everybody's time discussing a case that is way past conclusion.

I am not so familiar with the technical detail of the pro and con of Lidar. But just like a complicated system as space launch, to tackle such a hard problem as FSD, we should not have such a fixation again LIDAR in such an early stage of the whole scheme just because Elon said "absolute no LIDAR even if it is free" at one time.

My point is, IF, IF Elon later realizes that LIDAR has value and either test (as indicated here) or adopt LIDAR to certain degree. then I view it as his strength. I don't feel like Tesla betrays me if they decide to use that technology to augment their existing system. Everybody's knowledge needs enhancement, and the changes in approach should follow. Elon made the decision to go electrical and he changed the world, but he also said Covid 19 would be gone by April 2020. So why fixation again LIDAR, IF it proves to be useful?

Now, of course it could also be true that he will make FSD a reality just by vision, which I will be happy and would like to see ASAP, we will all be happy.
 
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Several months ago I wrote a post which garnered most negative response from this forum. I would like to reiterate what I said in that post:

"IF, and IF Tesla starts to use LIDAR or whatever technology, then I think it actually showed the strength of Tesla instead of anything otherwise"

People thought I was wasting everybody's time discussing a case that is way past conclusion.

I am not so familiar with the technical detail of the pro and con of Lidar. But just like a complicated system as space launch, to tackle such a hard problem as FSD, we should not have such a fixation again LIDAR in such an early stage of the whole scheme just because Elon said "absolute no LIDAR even if it is free" at one time.

My point is, IF, IF Elon later realizes that LIDAR has value and either test (as indicated here) or adopt LIDAR to certain degree. then I view it as his strength. I don't feel like Tesla betrays me if they decide to use that technology to augment their existing system.

Now, of course it could be also be true that he will make FSD a reality just by vision, which I will be happy, we will all be happy.

Tesla is not testing lidar for use in their cars. They are using it on a few test vehicles to validate their vision system. Read beyond Bloomberg's clickbait headline.


Edit: Contrary to FUD, Elon does not "hate lidar." As he has said several times, SpaceX developed their own lidar for use in spacecraft docking, but lidar is unnecessary for cars.
 
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