Right, but remember because of regen weight differences from stop and go are minimized.
The main problem is the idea that instead of using increased energy density of the cells to increase the kWh of the car while keeping weight the same you are implying they kept range the same while reducing the weight and capacity of the pack. If that were true it would have been a huge marketing blunder, since range is a key criteria for selling EV's. Also, range is most important during long distance steady state driving, and in your scenario the reduced kWh would result in reduced range, since the weight reduction would have no effect.
I'm not sure that's a marketing mistake. if they saved $1,000 per vehicle by dropping about 4 kWh that's about a one point increase in their gross margins (something Wall Street is intensely focused on), while raising range a few miles every 6-9 months could actually make consumers more likely to hold off on buying a Model S. we could debate whether which would be better (raise the range or raise Tesla's margins), but I don't think it's anywhere close to being an obvious mistake that makes the idea they would do it implausible.
I agree with you about range being most important as a vehicle user in highway driving... but would you not agree that the EPA highway rating is the most useful number regarding range in terms of consumers buying the car? I would agree that
if this is the case, it would imply Tesla making a decision based more on what would sell cars/improve margins rather than what would give better results for the consumer once they've bought the car. but, let's back up, in 10 minutes, without having the chemistry background to even consider any potential holes in wk057's methodology (beyond the fact that this is the reporting of one person using their own equipment on cells from a couple of battery packs), in 10 minutes at 3AM last night, I saw alternative explanations to wk057's explanations.
again... I think it's good wk057 looked into this. I think it's good he shared his findings here. I'm just saying, let's take a step back and examine how much information we have and what kind of conclusions we can or cannot conclude from this (especially in a world where once the narrative is out, good luck getting the media to put it in perspective once perspective is available... cases in point: the vehicle fires, the LA times Tesla gagillions of dollars in government dependency narratives). don't conclude my hypothesis is correct, don't conclude wk's is... let's examine what we know, figure out the possible scenarios, and where to go from here.
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I retract nothing. I've owned three Model S, and my assertion matches my real world experience. Removing 4 kWh is going to decrease range, even if you remove some weight along with it. Simple as that.
are you saying removing 4 kWh (this all assumes your analysis is correct) and 400 pounds of weight will reduce EPA range given these facts about the EPA testing cycle,
the 5 cycles of the epa tests have the following amount of stops in each cycle:
city: 23
highway: 0
high speed: 4
AC: 5
cold temp: 23
(average of 11 stops per cycle)
note (from the website): EPA has established testing criteria for electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids that are slightly different than those for conventional vehicles.
link to source of information above
Detailed Test Information