I guess now that we're kind of settling in on this topic, we can summarize. And I have some additional questions!
1) The statistical "mode" (and nearly the mean) of Model 3 Phantom/Vampire drain appears to be about 2.4 miles/day, which is 580Wh/day (24W average load). I base this on the "Stats" app which keeps track of this amongst his user base. It can be higher or lower for any user on a particular day of course.
2) The vampire drain is dominated by the periods the car is in idle mode (denoted by "Parked" in the iOS widget). The draw in idle mode is typically about 100W and can be higher. It's not clear to me what the drain is in sleep mode, but it seems to be less than 10W.
3) Any vampire drain reports should be reported when the pack is at essentially the same temperature before/after. The available pack energy (and thus % & miles) are reduced when the temperature decreases (however, the extrapolated 100% charge rated range is NOT dependent on temperature -
it is always ~310 miles for a relatively new battery in good shape, regardless of ambient temperature).
4) Vampire drain reports so far indicate that there may be higher losses when the vehicle is left in the cold, but so far we don't know whether the car actually uses more energy - most of those reports of lost miles may be due to the HV pack temperature dropping.
We need more data on this from someone who has left their car outside in very very cold temperatures for multiple days - is the vampire drain really bad in those scenarios? We'd need daily logging of the current vehicle mileage remaining during the test interval to know. Then we would know how much energy BMS uses, approximately (and at what temperature it starts to operate).
5) There are definitely software bug situations where the car can get stuck in idle mode. This leads to very high vampire drain, but it's relatively easy to identify - just keep checking your iOS widget and you'll find your car is always in Park. Don't check the app itself; it wakes up the vehicle.
6) Some (but not all) 3rd-party apps make vampire/phantom drain a lot worse. It should be something to answer before using any such app. As far as I can tell I haven't had any problems with Stats, so far. I went for a while with no third-party apps and haven't noted any changes while using Stats.
7) You can identify whether the car was/is in sleep mode by listening for fan whirring, listening for clicking near the charge port, and by whether the contactors "clunk" when you get into the vehicle (if they clunk before you drive it means the car was sleeping...)
Remaining questions:
1) How deeply does Tesla allow the 12V battery (which I gather is an AGM battery) to be cycled? I assume this is the reason the car is forced to emerge from sleep mode, periodically - to recharge the 12V battery. This potentially will impact the life of these batteries.
2) When the car is left plugged in, does the car ever preferentially draw from the charger, rather than the 12V battery? As far as I can tell it doesn't (otherwise people wouldn't be seeing the HV battery get drawn down when plugged in)...
3) Why does Tesla even allow the HV battery to get drawn down when it is plugged in? My understanding is that use of a Lithium ion battery and available cycles are basically dependent on how much energy is drawn from it - not whether it is deep discharged and recharged or whatever. So why wear out the battery (even though it is a relatively small amount)? Is it for rebalancing purposes?
4) What is the car doing in idle mode? As far as I can tell, the only things which seem necessary are: replenishing the 12V battery, and downloading software updates. It also appears to be uploading data, which sometimes takes a while. Ideally, to replenish the 12V battery, the car would have a mode where it didn't have to burn 100W! What is using 100W, I wonder? I assume the computer...
I have some questions for app developers who may know more about the API
@rawmean, do you know:
1) How does Tesla keep track of how much energy is used in a particular "sleep" cycle? I ask because in order to find out the drain, I figure the app has to poll the car...which moves it to idle mode? However, I am aware that TeslaFi and other apps can keep track of the drain in each cycle. Just wondering how Tesla is tracking it, and how they "account" for the drain in each mode.
2) Does the Tesla API give any indication of how much of the energy "lost" is due to the battery cooling down, vs. actual energy used? If they were somehow monitoring current draw from the 12V battery & HV battery, it seems like these two effects would be distinguishable. We know the HV battery has lower available energy when it is cold...but if the car can track how much power was actually used in an idle period, it would know that the reduced energy in the pack is partially due to cold, and partially due to drawdown.