Reservations for M3 were placed in 2016.
Would be interesting if a legal argument could be made that the reservation & subsequent purchase was premised on FSD & hence the entire cost of the car plus interest should be refunded, as the owner would have never bought the car if they knew FSD deadlines could never have been met.
I probably wouldn't have traded in my AP1 2015 Model S on a 2018 Model 3 if it wasn't for the sense that HW3 (it was promised to FSD buyers) wouldn't have a substantially improved freeway L2 experience.
I never anticipated Tesla would achieve autonomous driving
I never anticipated that NoA would be such a colossal disaster (on average)
I never anticipated that phantom braking would damage the TACC only experience so much
Is that all on Tesla? Or is that on me for buying something before it accomplished the very things I thought I'd get from it?
In my own case I'm not looking for reimbursement. I hated that FSD was being sold because I don't like established large companies having buyers pay for the development of some feature. FSD was never demonstrated in a way that met my minimum threshold of believability. I'm a skeptical person by nature so no surprise there.
In the end it simply didn't work out as I anticipated. OOPS.
There are likely a lot of cases where Teslas failure to deliver on promises messed up someones plan, but I don't think its on Tesla to make things right in all cases. The best people can hope for is an FSD refund especially for people in the 2016 to 2019 range when it was a separated from EAP. But, this is only $3K so is it really worth fighting over? By this point all those people should be on HW3 so it not like they didn't get something for their money if they held onto the car.
Once the subscription model is started than I expect FSD on vehicles to make them more valuable where it will make the difference rather mute.
I'm expecting to see a few lawsuits, but nothing that will really amount to anything. Like I said before it will be more of a wimper than a bang.
The biggest damage to Tesla will be on early adopters (many of which have a money) no longer buying Tesla vehicles, and instead moving to competitors. But, I don't think Tesla cares as they have way more new people than old customers. Heck their competitors should thank them for giving them business.