I don't know about Tessie, but TeslaFi benefits from having historical data. It will only record from when you start using it, and its battery degradationgraph will give you the range you achieved at various points in the car's (well the "recorded data's") history. You can fiddle with the filters, but the one I use is to only include 100% (or maybe 99%) charges - so it bases the graph on occasions when the car was fully charged (which would also cause the cells to be rebalanced and [apparently!] that then improves the range estimating).
But, either way, TeslaFi does give you a comparison with the fleet, as
@scottf200 illustrated, so that could be useful even in a trial version. Worth doing a 100% charge during the trial to be able to single out / filter that specific figure on the degradation graph.
Helpful advice has been posted here (and looks like you have it sorted). Bjorn Nayland has some useful YouTubes on how he has calculated range (when testing a brand new make / model etc.). Still need an equivalent figure for "when new", but something representative should be available online somewhere
I agree, I think 510wh/mile looks like a big number to me too. Important to make sure that cabin and battery heating are not getting wrapped up in that figure - e.g. by fully precondition the car [from Grid] before setting off for a (
consumption test) long trip. The heater etc. consumption should then be reasonably well averaged out for the trip (the longer the trip). I don't think you need to drive to 0%, just as low as you can reasonably get in a single-leg.
My winter experience is not that severe. If I pre-condition the car, and don't stop (
i.e. which would let the battery cool down, and use energy to heat it back up again) I reckon that winter (around 5C) uses 10% more than Summer. Certainly if the temperature is "Artic" it will be a lot worse, but most of my winter driving is 5C-ish and if it is -10C the AA and RAC will be saying "Don't go anywhere" so I hide behind that if someone thinks they need me to visit them!
A Model-X of "some vintage" probably has a "Range Mode". Turning that on will be somewhat more frugal (on journeys where range is key) at the expense of some cabin heating.