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I think I may have been hasty in doubting this theory. I just reduced my own 401k TSLA position to add to my FBTC. (sorry everyone) While I still think retail isn't big enough to move prices, I wonder if some big money is starting to rotate into BTC. NVDA and other Mag 7 will be affected as well.BTC was at 48K on Feb 12. Now it's at 67K. Huge volume. Still think Bitcoin is affecting TSLA price with some shareholders selling TSLA to buy BTC. Faster horse. (Don't read anything into this comment other than trying to inform the board about things affecting the stock ... I'm quite happy where TSLA is right now (too low) and think the next few years will be very good for us.)
Yeah, it feels like winter is well and truly done and we'll get a few months of crazy due to ETF + halving. I'm looking to sell down some BTC in this next run when thinks look a bit nutty.For perspective, the gold ETFs have been around 20 years and have a total market cap around $100 million. Bitcoin ETFs did that in two months.
Gold went on an 8-year bull run after gold ETFs launched in 2004.
There have been plenty of believers. In fact 15 years ago when Bitcoin had like 2 users, Hal Finney wrote this:Nobody thought this would happen this fast.
Crypto provides nothing that FIAT can’t do.
A 'currency' with fixed supply and a growing population absolutely permanently locks-in inherited wealth and colossal inequality. There is a good reason we are not on the 'gold standard' any more, its economic suicide. Bitcoin is beanie babies for techbros, and I'm embarrassed Tesla ever bought any of it. Its also environmentally catastrophic, something Tesla claims to be concerned about.FIAT can also do something 'special' -It can be 'printed' - BTC cannot. Watch your Dollar debase year on year. Tesla should add to their holdings. Scratch beneath the surface of 'BTC has no intrinsic value' and 'its all a scam'...
Printing money is an important tool in Monetary Policy, yes it can be abused, but it's valuable. That's why I believe (but could be wrong) BTC will never becoming anything more than a speculative investment or as a way to hide ones footsteps in the financial world.FIAT can also do something 'special' -It can be 'printed' - BTC cannot. Watch your Dollar debase year on year. Tesla should add to their holdings. Scratch beneath the surface of 'BTC has no intrinsic value' and 'its all a scam'...
While I disagree, there is another interesting part about your post. Namely, a well-known now ex-member Cliffsky shared your disapproval for BTC in very same manner to the point that he did leave this forum. Interesting, because he was also from the same neck of the woods as you are.A 'currency' with fixed supply and a growing population absolutely permanently locks-in inherited wealth and colossal inequality. There is a good reason we are not on the 'gold standard' any more, its economic suicide. Bitcoin is beanie babies for techbros, and I'm embarrassed Tesla ever bought any of it. Its also environmentally catastrophic, something Tesla claims to be concerned about.
Right now BitPay is the only 3rd party I trust with my coins and only in the fact that they convert them to USD immediately on deposit and then I have a Mastercard backed by a US bank to spend the USD.
Here are the limits of pulling BTC into USD this way
The maximum aggregate value of your Card Account(s) may not exceed $25,000 at any time. The maximum value will be determined by aggregating the activity and value of all Card Accounts you may have with the Program. For security reasons, we may further limit the
number or dollar amount of transactions you can make with your Card. The following grid is provided in order to highlight the frequency and limitations of cardholder transactions in a single day or additional time frame if warranted:
Transaction/load type Maximum amount
Maximum balance on the card $25,000 (Maximum balance on card at any time)
Cash withdrawal (ATM & bank teller) $2,000 per withdrawal, 3 withdrawals per day, $25,000 per month
Purchases (POS) $10,000 per day (the “Daily Purchase Limit”)
Value loads $10,000 per day (Any combination of all supported load types)
basically the only place I'd want to spend my BTC is directly with Tesla to buy a car, directly to the bank which holds my home mortgage (which won't accept BTC or my Bitpay Debit card, the only thing they will accept is a bank account number), directly to my Checking* so I can pay other bills, or directly to my Stock account*.
I haven't found any way to move funds from the Bitpay prepaid debit card directly to my checking or Stock brokers account. So the only way I know to use my BTC without trusting a 3rd party other than Bitpay with my BTC is to put it on the debit card and then pay small bills (like cell phone, meals at a restaurant, car insurance, and such) or pull money out of an ATM $2,000 at a time, carry it by hand to my bank teller and deposit it there. BTW ATM or Teller withdrawals have a fee of $2.50 and a third party surcharge may apply.
So if BTC gets high enough for my checking account gets low enough I can pull ~$2,000 at a time over from BTC to my checking through several steps (BTC - Bitpay debit card - ATM - Bank).
If any brick and mortar US bank in my city would do the bitcoin to USD conversion for a reasonable fee (less than 0.15% I'd open checking account with them and skip the Bitpay middle man.
How long was the US on the gold standard and did that period lead to economic ruin? I think the opposite.A 'currency' with fixed supply and a growing population absolutely permanently locks-in inherited wealth and colossal inequality. There is a good reason we are not on the 'gold standard' any more, its economic suicide. Bitcoin is beanie babies for techbros, and I'm embarrassed Tesla ever bought any of it. Its also environmentally catastrophic, something Tesla claims to be concerned about.
Regarding inequality and M2:
Or you could look at the ratio and see it doesn't really do anything to wealth inequality.Regarding inequality and M2:
Why is it gone now?Totallysomewhat useless without 2021/22/23 data.. that bottom blue line received ~ 2.7T in direct payments in 2020 and increased their net savings by 5-6x. That’s mostly gone now.
I have been semi involved in crypto 12 years. So many times have I statements like:I truly don’t understand these types of posts. I’ve been completely wrong many times in life so this could be another case, but at the moment I’m not seeing it.
How long have you studied Bitcoin and in what way? Rhetorical question really, but I do wonder.
Yes, so those folks got a debased currency and others got increased asset prices due to M2 increase (inflation). Those are not the same.It’s been spent..for the most part.
Isn't wealth inequality the ratio between the wealth of the rich and the wealth of the poor?Your graph to me is less informative as it’sa ratio, and it still shows a 2x anyway.