It’s been obvious to me for thirty years, since Kuwait:
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Gulf War - Wikipedia.
I’ve done everything possible to minimize my oil footprint for this very reason, from gardening to year round bicycling (including-25F to +115F). I still do it to this day and I’m constantly looking for more things to reduce my consumption. If everyone followed my lifestyle, the Coronavirus-induced economic crisis would look like a walk in the park. I’v actually enjoyed the quiet and reduced traffic since March. My only real change has been my bicycle route to avoid more bicyclists and pedestrians (instead of my normal avoidance of vehicle traffic).
Much, much before that:
1953- US-led over through of elected Prime Minister Mossadegh
64 Years Later, CIA Finally Releases Details of Iranian Coup
late 1920's to mid 1930's:
The very formation of Saudi Arabia and Aramco were completely entertwined with US foreign policy. Much of the detailed documentation of those events si quite scattered and generally discouraged, especially in The Kingdom and among US Petroleum industry. Here is the Offical word:
https://www.aramco.com/en/who-we-are/overview/our-history
It is hardly possible to exaggerate the importance of the petroleum industry in 20th century world politics. It is not much less influential today.
The Gulf War really was the direct result of the incompetence of April Glaspie and James Baker. There is some revisionist history these days, but without much question it happened because those two people did not directly tell Saddam Hussein that he could not mess with Kuwait. The Wiki isn't perfect but it's mostly correct, IMHO:
April Glaspie - Wikipedia
I spent most of the 1970's and early 1980's living in Iran, Bahrain, the UAE (Dubai, Sharjah) and later even Yemen. During that time I dealt with many of the players while a banker. I am thus very opinionated, which in this case does not mean I'm wrong.
If the world has not other reason to seek renewable energy from solar and wind the geopolitics of fossil fuels should be convincing proof that fossil fuels corrupt the globe political and economically not just physically. As TSLA nears it's all time high again, there is no better time to reflect on the cost of failure to change. As much of the world is baking and burning. there is no better time to recall all the prices to humanity of mindless devotion to fossil fuels. Timely also since the US is now about to begin drilling in the Arctic Wildife Refuge.
I admit it: this is mostly off topic and should be elsewhere.