Indeed. This is how Tesla is handling Roadster batteries - even though a full replacement is $36k (I hope the 2014 surprise for Roadster owners is lowering that price!) I just got a new battery and only paid $4k. They only charge you as if they replaced the broken part, which is my case was just one sheet. I have a hard time imagining they wouldn't do the same thing with the powertrains - they will replace the whole thing because it all bolts in and out together, but only charge you for what was broken.
Screaming "OMG! $15k!" is entertaining, but nobody has paid that and I doubt anybody ever will.
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Correct. For both 2012 and 2013 models, the Model S got the "best" reliability rating for the drivetrain. Even though the 2013 models dropped to "average" on climate control and "worst" on "squeaks" and "body hardware", CR still rated the predicted reliability of new cars at 17% above average.
Yes, this is a snapshot from the past and things could have gotten worse (though most here are assuming it was worse for the early cars - incidentally, no problems or noise in my VIN #112). It is true that CR reliability surveys don't cover all cars and aren't perfect. But I think they're about an order of magnitude better than trying to figure out what's going on by perusing forum postings. Any car forum has a long list of problems, and no way to see how many owners are not having problems. Determining a failure rate here is not just difficult, it's impossible.