For (1), I don’t think Nvidia’s vehicle would qualify. For (2), maybe, but I’m skeptical. For instance, how does it do on crowded streets in a city? How does it handle rare edge cases on the highway?
We have trillions of miles of equivalent corner cases of collisions and near collisions on youtube and /r/roadcam that can be extracted and played over in simulation. Any company not making use of that would be stupid. In addition, corner cases can be simulated not only on the computer but on test tracks.
Bladerskb, is your belief that Mobileye will solve full autonomy with a little bit of imitation learning (under 10 million miles of manual driving data) and mostly reinforcement learning in simulation?
If that is your belief, do you think Mobileye will solve full autonomy before Waymo?
I don't hold either beliefs, other than the fact that autonomy wouldn't be solved by throwing alot of data at a neural network and then after a few weeks/months of development/training, comes out a human level NN driver.
NN using GPU made its introduction in 2012 and gave us a leap in perception as a whole (which google's sdc was the first to make use of it)
but still didn't solve perception. It has taken almost a decade of NN advancement/research to get to where we are in perception and in computer vision and yet perception is only solved by having multiple layers of redundancy.
You think we haven't made an advancement in 15 years but we have made an unimaginable amount of advancements.
So, what is Mobileye’s advantage?
I’m wondering what your theory is here.
The difference between Mobileye and the rest of the industry is that since 2015 Mobileye has embarked on one goal and that is to use deep RL to solve self driving. Others are now in 2018/2019 contemplating and researching plugging in some RL into their planning software. But for mobileye this is their only part. Their 100% focus. This isn't research for them.
Lastly they have an advantage because their entire stack is very cheap unlike the rest of the industry. Their entire sensor suite cost below $2k and they are the only one with crowdsourced HD map at scale.
You believe that Tesla have had an insurmountable lead since 2017 and i believe based on factual evidence that
Mobileye will overtake Waymo by the end of the year.
I guess we will see in the coming months.
It’s not compute — Google has more.
Intel owns mobileye