The US only has 4 million miles worth of roads, and Waymo is not driving on most of them. How much duplication is there given their current geographic limitations?
Out of that 4 million miles of roads, way less than 5% is actually unique.
Its not about the road topography its about the interaction and the uniqueness of the road.
So out of the 4 million, probably less than 10,000 miles are actually unique.
This is why testing in places like SF, NY, Jerusalem, Phoenix, China, etc... will give you all the data you need because you don't need to test everywhere because the road topography ain't unique. This is why we humans can drive from one state to another.
China
Teslas travel over a billion miles a year with AP active, and most of the fleet can analyze data with it off. Worst case, it takes Tesla 12 months to collect a billion miles of geographicly diverse real world performance data on a new version. (Which also allows for seasonal coverage).
If you ignore all facts and evidence i just laid out, sure.
- A mile of data would be 1.2 GB - 3.6 GB.
- Tesla only collect 10 seconds of footage because of ram limits.
- Data is only uploaded on wifi because of its vast size (10 seconds of footage is 100-300MB).
- Wifi is only available when you return home. meaning best case of possible scenario is 10 seconds of footage data upload per day.
- It currently takes a miracle for your car to even get a trigger campaign or have a disengagement trigger a data upload.
With ~400k sales in 2020 and an average yearly mileage of 10,000 , the fleet data collection/ observation will grow by 4 billion miles/ year or a billion miles every 3 months.
- So if you went on a 2,000 miles trip, best case scenario is 10 seconds of footage is uploaded when you return home.
- If you had a yearly commute of 10,000 miles, best case scenario is 4.5 minutes per year from each car.
Teslas travel over a billion miles a year with AP active...
By 2022 there will be a billion miles driven every month (not all AP).
Article on public release of a subset of Waymo's data:
Full Page Reload
Again stop comparing AP with SDC and their data collection.
AP is a glorified lane keeping and adaptive cruise control system.
This is different from what data SDC cars are collecting and how they function.
Its not the same, stop comparing like its the same.