In the Model 3, I'm not sure there's going to be much efficiency gain with AWD. In the Model S, there were several places where AWD could result in an efficiency gain:
- Going from the large 1st-generation motor in the RWD to the dual smaller 2nd-generation motors in the AWD.
- The induction motors in the Model S are lower efficiency to begin with.
- The ability to gear the front motor different from the rear motor, and torque sleep the rear motor when cruising.
- The Model S already weighs a lot, the additional weight from a 2nd motor is proportionally less.
These opportunities are mostly absent in the Model 3:
- The PMSR motor in the Model 3 is already a very efficient motor.
- The PMSR motor only has a very limited ability to torque sleep due to the permanent magnets inside.
- The 2nd motor will add a proportionally larger amount of weight to the Model 3.
These factors make me think that the efficiency gain from AWD in the Model 3 will be minimal.
Tesla could gain a much better ability to torque sleep the rear motor and gain the efficiency that way if the rear motor became an induction motor rather than a PMSR, and indeed this is what I expect them to do with the performance version of the Model 3. But for cost reasons, I think the non-performance version will use two of the PMSRs, and gain very little efficiency.