This is what we know for sure: at the moment, we are SOFTWARE LIMITED, meaning the thing holding us back from better FSD is the software, not the hardware. How do we know this? Because the software keeps getting better under HW3. You might not like the rate of improvement, but unquestionably it has gotten better over the last 3 years since its 2020 public release, while the hardware hasn't improved at all. Will the software be better with HW4? Seems likely, but since the software is the main bottleneck for now, whatever incremental improvements HW4 provides over HW3 are simply noise at the moment.