It's not a gamble. Well, it's a gamble if you hold off ordering: when it goes down, Tesla honors the new price and when it goes up, they freeze it for you. Preordering ASAP is always the best option. It can be a bad option if you do not put your order on hold and you can't take delivery when Tesla is ready to deliver - which can cost delivery fees penalities.
-
Want to remove ads? Register an account and login to see fewer ads, and become a Supporting Member to remove almost all ads.
Jason1652
Member
J03L
Member
Red Leader NH
Member
oof... Gut punch this morning. They just moved out my date to 6/14-6/30. Ordered April 5th and had a 5/14- 5/29 date to start. Need more people in New England to order to get a shipment this way or something.
I have the CT on order and was thinking I would only have the M3P for a year or so until that arrives. I think I'm in the low 200K range for reservations. Guessing I'll prolly have the 3 for a few years if this backlog keeps piling up for all cars.
I am not a patient person... looks like some forced growth is in my future. SERENITY NOW!
I have the CT on order and was thinking I would only have the M3P for a year or so until that arrives. I think I'm in the low 200K range for reservations. Guessing I'll prolly have the 3 for a few years if this backlog keeps piling up for all cars.
I am not a patient person... looks like some forced growth is in my future. SERENITY NOW!
Ribeyesteak
Member
J03L
Member
"6:30" you mean 6/30? For a second I thought you even have an exact time for your delivery
Yes yes, we get it... you've been through this before, and everything always happens the same way, and you know better than everyone else... We don't have to go back 60 pages because someone says this same thing on every page or two... we get it... but we're in it now and hypothesizing, commiserating, analyzing, and discussing are all ways to distract ourselves while we wait for the eventual day that we receive our cars.
Unless you are a Tesla employee acting in an official capacity, your theory is just as valid as any other data based theory that has been offered in these forums, and just because something happened a certain way 1, 3, or 20 times before doesn't mean that there are no changes in circumstance that could effect how it happens this time.
Continuing to repeat this same theory (or fact as you believe it to be) over and over again is frankly coming across as condescending. Let people enjoy their distractions in peace.
Also if you go back 60 pages you will see that a lot of people received his VINs on Feb 17 - Feb 20, so this "last 2weeks of the quarter" is not 100% sure.
Based on the master spreadsheet this statement is false. Most got it in the first week of march. On avg you get your vin 12 days before delivery and it’s typically 6 or 14. With the bulk of the deliveries taking place in the last 3 weeks of march. The exceptions/outliers are non US/Canada destination
Red Leader NH
Member
I’m all for efficient manufacturing but clearing out backlog end of quarter is not efficient. It’s a red flag for anyone that works in manufacturing. You want to have a level load to prevent hockey sticks. OT push, expedite fees for vendors, and increased shipping costs are very costly. Not to mention it puts off your customers that are waiting. They really don’t have to worry now with so much demand but the ICE manufacturers are getting better. Next couple years they need to have cars on lots or most will go to competition. Instant gratification generation won’t wait.
Just for the fun of it... (based on spreadsheet data)
| Quarter | VIN in first month | VIN in 2nd month | VIN in 3rd month |
| 2020Q1 | 4 | 12 | 20 |
| 2020Q2 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
| 2020Q3 | 2 | 9 | 4 |
| 2020Q4 | 1 | 5 | 15 |
| 2021Q1 | 0 | 10 | 50 |
Segmenting by region would be good too. And I think you kinda need to filter for old order dates (for which we don't know if there isn't things like changes in order/placing on hold/refused delivery/etc. That still strongly suggests that no VINs will be coming out until the first few days of June and that they are not late yet by any means.
There are certainly many more ways to slice and dice the data, but I get paid a lot more to do that at work than I do here
My main point was, it has not "always been" that the Performances come out in the last two weeks and that it is not the end all be all definitive way of things.
This is NOT what they do. This is what happens on the delivery side, not the manufacturing side.
Similar threads
