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My assumption or guesstimate is $5K for AWD, $3K for air suspension, and $10K for performance motor/package
Musk has already said AWD price will be below $5K. You're just using the old Model S price difference, right? These are inherently smaller motors, $3500-$4000 seems far more likely. For some reason you're estimating the air suspension option even higher than the S&X pricing was? Given that the M3's suspension has significantly less load to handle than on an S or X, thats seems doubly unlikely.
Sure, but the AP costs the same $5K and the premium package is another $5K like the Model S...
Which is a VERY poor analogy to leverage an off of, especially the software (and not a whole lot better when comments that don't scale that much, and the roof which is something different). In the face a confirmed direct statement on the D option price, saying "nope, lower". And in no way supports an argument that the air coils will be more expensive than the S & X. Bonkers.
On the P side of things it's all really all wild-ass speculation at this point, so while your numbers there don't make a whole lot of sense there either it's not like there's much to hang on to figure out the direction from there so it's all a big *shrug*....and a red herring that you've thrown in.
Well the P for performance for the Model S adds more than just software, that's why a Model S P100D is 58 lbs heavier than a Model S 100D (that's your fun fact of the day)
The whole point of my fictitious Model 3 upgrades/performance costs was to compare apples to apples with a Model S and Model 3 that are closer in performance and luxury options. If I said that the air suspension will be $1000 more and the performance version will add $12K to the price, resulting in the same overall price, will that make the numbers make more sense to you?
It would address the blatant goosing of the air coil price, that reeks of you trying to rig the comparison to a given outcome.
Not so much you bringing in the red herrings of:
1) price when you had already tried to dismiss $ anyway AND the context of your initial post didn't deal with $
2) the "performance" option when you get to just make up what it means, in price and whatever else
Just can't shake the sense that you are "rigging" to try come to a preordained conclusion....and this post from you has, if anything, further set that.
"What if I changed this number not to be outrageous but then moved this other rectally extracted number to come up with the same total?"
Fin. Goodbye.