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Model Y Total Probability of Injury


Battery cells != scalable
Jan 10, 2015
United States


Well-Known Member
Feb 1, 2016
They put the methodology right on the page you linked to:

The Vehicle Safety Score represents the “relative risk of injury with respect to a baseline of 15%,” according to NHTSA. Model 3 achieved a Vehicle Safety Score of 0.38, which is lower than any other vehicle rated in NHTSA’s public documents. By multiplying the Vehicle Safety Score by NHTSA’s 15% baseline figure, we arrived at an overall probability of injury for Model 3 of 5.7%. Applying the same calculation to each of the vehicles rated in NHTSA’s documents, we found that Model S achieved an overall probability of injury of 6.3%, and Model X achieved an overall probability of injury of 6.5%, making them the vehicles with the second and third lowest probabilities of injury, respectively, based on NHTSA’s publicly-available data and records.

The 2020 Model Y rated 0.42 for the VSS which makes the overall probability of injury 6.3%. (From: Regulations.gov)

Which is the same as the Model S. (A little worse than the Model 3.)

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