Model Y Total Probability of Injury

[LargeHamCollider]

The following blog post by Tesla explains how out of all vehicles tested by the NHTSA, the Model 3 has the lowest total probability of injury.

Model 3 achieves the lowest probability of injury of any vehicle ever tested by NHTSA

Now that crash test data is out for the Model Y, does anyone know how it compares? Or know the methodology used to get to this data so that it may be replicated for the Model Y?

 

[MP3Mike]

They put the methodology right on the page you linked to:

The Vehicle Safety Score represents the “relative risk of injury with respect to a baseline of 15%,” according to NHTSA. Model 3 achieved a Vehicle Safety Score of 0.38, which is lower than any other vehicle rated in NHTSA’s public documents. By multiplying the Vehicle Safety Score by NHTSA’s 15% baseline figure, we arrived at an overall probability of injury for Model 3 of 5.7%. Applying the same calculation to each of the vehicles rated in NHTSA’s documents, we found that Model S achieved an overall probability of injury of 6.3%, and Model X achieved an overall probability of injury of 6.5%, making them the vehicles with the second and third lowest probabilities of injury, respectively, based on NHTSA’s publicly-available data and records.

The 2020 Model Y rated 0.42 for the VSS which makes the overall probability of injury 6.3%. (From: Regulations.gov)

Which is the same as the Model S. (A little worse than the Model 3.)