I have a radar equipped M3 AWD, but also (now) have FSD beta, which means the radar is no longer used and I have VO, therefore I have experienced BOTH radar and non-radar (VO) AP. This is true for others in the FSD beta also (who have older cars with radar).
I rarely, if ever, experienced phantom braking on freeways with radar, and that has not changed when I switched to VO, driving the same routes (the FSD stack is not involved in freeway driving at present, and so is not a variable here). Of course, this may just mean that the routes/roads I drive are not such as to trigger PB, but I certainly did not see an increase with VO, which I think would have been apparent since I had almost zero events with radar. What this means as a data point in understanding PB I dont know, but that's my experience.