Predict when we will be able to summon our cars three miles

[Zap!]

Here's the hypothetical future situation: I take the express bus to Manhattan for a fun day. Only thing is, at night some of them don't run so I have to take a different bus back to Staten Island. It drops me off three miles from my house. I simply summon my Tesla to drive three miles to pick me up, on its own.

When do you think the earliest I'll be able to do this will be? A decade?

 

[AlanSubie4Life]

Here's the hypothetical future situation: I take the express bus to Manhattan for a fun day. Only thing is, at night some of them don't run so I have to take a different bus back to Staten Island. It drops me off three miles from my house. I simply summon my Tesla to drive three miles to pick me up, on its own.

When do you think the earliest I'll be able to do this will be? A decade?

Never, with current vehicles and hardware.

 

[Zap!]

Never, with current vehicles and hardware.

Fair enough. How about with better hardware?

 

[mgs333]

7 years 8 months 9 days.

 

[Zap!]

7 years 8 months 9 days.

That would be amazing lol.

 

[mgs333]

I remembered Waymo already does this but it's not your own car and the coverage area is extremely limited. I think it'll take Waymo a similar amount of time (5-10 years but closer to 10) to cover 90+% of the US population.

 

[Kimmi]

Two weeks?

 

[spacecoin]

I think you'll be able to get a robotaxi for you last mile travel in Staten Island in less than 5 years. Definately less than 10. Personally owned vehicles are probably 10-20 years out or later (laws/liability/monitoring) or never (from a business point of view).

 

[Krash]

(Moderator note - I changed this title to include the entire question.)

 

[Max Spaghetti]

The answer is the same moment your car has Level 4 automation and both Staten Island, your house, and a route between them are within the ODD.

The three miles are irrelevant, unless your real question is about potential ODD's for Level 4 automation.

 

[enemji]

Here's the hypothetical future situation: I take the express bus to Manhattan for a fun day. Only thing is, at night some of them don't run so I have to take a different bus back to Staten Island. It drops me off three miles from my house. I simply summon my Tesla to drive three miles to pick me up, on its own.

When do you think the earliest I'll be able to do this will be? A decade?

in 2 weeks

 

[JulienW]

If talking about Tesla consumer cars on the road now I suspect that the best our's will ever reach is a fairly wide L3 system. Of course less than a year ago (pre v12) I thought a competent L2 would be the best we would get and we are getting kinda close to that now.

 

[Zap!]

The three miles are irrelevant, unless your real question is about potential ODD's for Level 4 automation.

I just used three miles as a random example. I just was asking a general question as to about when my car can be summoned from a distance greater than a parking lot.

 

[AlanSubie4Life]

the best our's will ever reach is a fairly wide L3 system

No way that's ever happening. And I am an optimist!

 

[Dewg]

No way that's ever happening. And I am an optimist!

It's an L2 driver assist system. It was always an L2 driver assist system, and it will always be an L2 driver assist system.

 

[JulienW]

It's an L2 driver assist system. It was always an L2 driver assist system, and it will always be an L2 driver assist system.

As I stated it MAY get to L3. But of course that is still irrelevant to the OP.

 

[AlanSubie4Life]

As I stated it MAY get to L3. But of course that is still irrelevant to the OP.

And I am saying that L3 will not happen with current hardware. Which suggests for the OP that the dream of the OP’s current Tesla picking him up is never going to happen.
Just my optimistic outlook!

was always an L2 driver assist system

Not true, but agree with your overall point. A small liability for Tesla there, ever diminishing.

 

[Dewg]

Not true, but agree with your overall point. A small liability for Tesla there, ever diminishing.

Oh yeah, my bad. I had totally forgot about the early models when it was L1. I'll revise: "It's an L2 driver assist system. It was always an L1/L2 driver assist system, and it will never be more than an L2 driver assist system."

 

[AlanSubie4Life]

Oh yeah, my bad. I had totally forgot about the early models when it was L1. I'll revise: "It's an L2 driver assist system. It was always an L1/L2 driver assist system, and it will never be more than an L2 driver assist system."

No, it was an L4/L5 system with a safety driver until March 2019.

 

[spacecoin]

No, it was an L4/L5 system with a safety driver until March 2019.

It's always been that in marketing at least since Tesla broke off with ME. "The Tesla Network 2020"... At least until FSD SUPERVISED.