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Prediction: Coal has fallen. Nuclear is next then Oil.

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WPLG Local 10: FPL demolishes 500-foot-tall stack and chute at its last coal plant in Florida.

Note that that's just FP&L.
Not all coal plants in Florida have retirement planned.
The Jacksonville utility has coal generation with no plans to close it.
 
CleanTechnica: Switching From Coal To Batteries At Power Plant In Maryland.


... I thought the largest coal plant in the west, located in AZ, was replaced by a battery...
 
Looks like it hit 554MW at 20:55, right after you took your screen shot.

733 MW @19:50!!

1624078659460.png
 

I guess get ready for higher energy prices as gas provides much of the electricity generation. Gas appliances will also cost more to operate. Good thing we have installed renewables with long term contracts stabilizing our energy prices.
 
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I guess get ready for higher energy prices as gas provides much of the electricity generation. Gas appliances will also cost more to operate. Good thing we have installed renewables with long term contracts stabilizing our energy prices.
If the current rate of installation of utilty-scale renewable generation kept up, it would decrease natural gas electricity share by about 2% per year, which would be an average demand reduction of 0.78% per year. However, there is still a whole load of coal and nuclear generation to be replaced.
 
It would be catastrophic. The world needs ~ 30% CAGR
In terms of total planned additions/retirements listed by the EIA, and using 2019 Capacity Factors to give 100% CF equivlant generation changes:

TypeNet MW 100% CF equivalent (using 2019 Capacity Factors)
Old (coal, nuclear and others that are generally declining)
-32712.3​
Renewable and batteries
20878.45​
Natural Gas
11858.36​
Other
24.25​
Not currently anywhere near fast enough, but there's a pretty clear pattern of coal and nuclear capacity replacement by natural gas and renewables, with an increased share of the generation being renewables. This year renewable additions should reduce natural gas generation, but with more coal and nuclear closures planned in the next couple of years, their replacement with natural gas would outweigh the renewable additions.

Note that there's not that much net change planned right now, although some projects are faster to market than others, so there could be less visibility into those in the EIA data.
 
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In terms of total planned additions/retirements listed by the EIA, and using 2019 Capacity Factors to give 100% CF equivlant generation changes:

TypeNet MW 100% CF equivalent (using 2019 Capacity Factors)
Old (coal, nuclear and others that are generally declining)
-32712.3​
Renewable and batteries
20878.45​
Natural Gas
11858.36​
Other
24.25​
Not currently anywhere near fast enough, but there's a pretty clear pattern of coal and nuclear capacity replacement by natural gas and renewables, with an increased share of the generation being renewables. This year renewable additions should reduce natural gas generation, but with more coal and nuclear closures planned in the next couple of years, their replacement with natural gas would outweigh the renewable additions.

Note that there's not that much net change planned right now, although some projects are faster to market than others, so there could be less visibility into those in the EIA data.
Based on the planned changes, you can see significant reduction in coal, with nuclear declining, but still overtaking coal.
Significant increases in wind and solar and offshore wind appears.
CCGT grows, but not as much as wind and solar. NG steam turbine declines and NG combustion turbine is essentially static.
Batteries also increase significantly and make an appearance, which is no doubt a contributor to the stasis of NG combustion turbine.
Note that this is based on 2019 capacity factors. Those are also likely to continue to shift with the changes in technologies.

1624294553102.png
 
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A few Euros per KWh? Sign me up for 50. :)
That is the price of the concrete and maybe the fiberglass over-wrap. The "balance of system" is clearly much more. 3 tons of concrete give 10kWh of energy storage. The story also mentions a deployment for frequency regulation services, which makes a lot of sense. Flywheels are also used for short duration UPS applications that only have to bridge the time until generators start up.
 
That is the price of the concrete and maybe the fiberglass over-wrap. The "balance of system" is clearly much more. 3 tons of concrete give 10kWh of energy storage. The story also mentions a deployment for frequency regulation services, which makes a lot of sense. Flywheels are also used for short duration UPS applications that only have to bridge the time until generators start up.

Good to know, anything to reduce the cost will be welcomed... Home batteries are still averaging about $650/KWh. Getting it down to $450/KWh would make my desired 50 KWh system under $25K... actually affordable. :)
 

A few Euros per KWh? Sign me up for 50. :)

Probably not a good idea anywhere there's even a 0.0001% chance of an Earthquake. You don't want to see what happens if you shake 3 tons of concrete spinning at 10k RPM.
 
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New Atlas: Organic-based EV battery turns to ethanol for a boost in energy density.
 

Utah has a large salt cavern they were wanting to store hydrogen, if this would result in NG + water, it may be a two-for-one deal.
 
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Utah has a large salt cavern they were wanting to store hydrogen, if this would result in NG + water, it may be a two-for-one deal.
I don't think we want or need more methane since it is a potent climate warming gas.