BitJam
Active Member
Possible good news from the Bakhmut area. Way too early to celebrate.
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in the West (primarily the USA) will see normal service resumed from the Friends Of Putin fan club.
It's not clear to me what they think or what their motives are. The best argument for a pro-Putin person could well be that the money is better spent at home.Fwiw, the anti-aid sentiment I see and read about is a lot more about narrow minded self interest rather than being pro-Russian or pro-Putin. They just think that money that could have gone to them is going to UKR, and they derive no benefit.
It is approaching levels seen in major wars like Vietnam or Korea. I believe the loss of equipment is approaching losses of wwii.That Russian loss rate is truly staggering, and it has doubled in the last few days.
Several weeks ago was the point when Russia had lost approx 85,000 KIA and we learnt that Ukraine had then lost approx 13,000 KIA. Then that was an approx 6 : 1 exchange ratio. Nothing since then has indicated that the exchange ratio has changed in Russia's favour.
To put things in perspective Russia had 2021 population of 143 million and Ukraine then had a population of 44 million. That was 3 : 1 population ratio. Since then a lot of Russian males of conscription age have fled the country, especially the more capable ones. Not so much in Ukraine.
Continuing along this trajectory it really does become a matter of when, not if, the Ukraine forces are able to push the Russian forces out.
Unless something changes about the nature of the conflict, such that the trajectory changes.
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In my opinion, on this trajectory Russia is out and within only its own territory within 12-months. Which likely includes exiting Crimea.
Unless something changes about the nature of the trajectory.
Putin is of course hoping that elections in key countries in the West (primarily the USA) will see normal service resumed from the Friends Of Putin fan club. I don't think Ukraine will let up their cautious sequential advances, as they too know the political-strategic backdrop. Ukraine knows the West is not good at strategic patience, and so Ukraine will keep pushing back provided that the necessary flows in support continue. Which I think they will, as all Western allies have done the corresponding calculation.
Stupid question here, but hear me out, have been wondering this for a while. Is it possible, that general import sanctions are actually the thing that preventes the ruble from collapsing? If people would be allowed to buy everything they want and the only obstacle would be how much anyone outside russia wants to hodl the ruble, prices would skyrocket and money printing would begin, yes?
It is approaching levels seen in major wars like Vietnam or Korea. I believe the loss of equipment is approaching losses of wwii.
Well I am shocked, it has far exceeded USA losses of equipment in wwii in Europe.
I doubt the complaints continue for long.I've seen a lot of stories with Russian soldiers complaining they aren't getting paid
Two stories that seem to be developing for the Russians. Russian banks appear to have run out of money.
Did they run out of money printing ink?
No, but they do want their fossil fuel payments in Rubles to have value.
Russia's 'Super Weapon' T-14 Armata Tanks Spotted Inside 'Special Military Operation' Zone; Experts Discuss Deployment To Donbas
Videos and images of Russia's most advanced Main Battle Tank (MBT), the T-14 Armata, have surfaced online, with several Russian media sources reporting that the tank has been spotted inside the so-called 'Special Military Operation' zone.eurasiantimes.com
I agree though, it [non payment] does sound like the kind of thing that would not boost morale.