The Russians have indirect fire options for everything. Tanks are still emergency artillery.
-
Want to remove ads? Register an account and login to see fewer ads, and become a Supporting Member to remove almost all ads.
Russia/Ukraine conflict
- Thread starter amolina
- Start date
The Russians have indirect fire options for everything. Tanks are still emergency artillery.
Tiger
Active Member
petit_bateau
Active Member
I think it is fair to say that Ukraine is back on the front foot after consolidating and training during the winter. Some interesting links I picked up
Not sure if this is just domestic Polish politics, or more serious
Long term gepolitics
www.theguardian.com
Fair
www.theguardian.com
Great, there will be reinforcement, so no let up
apnews.com
These are several-km thrusts, both sides Bakhmut, and in Soledar as well I think
and check this out - it is exactly the sort of thing that could open up quickly if you look at the big map and the sparsely held nature of th eRussian fortified lines
and now here is the big map and I have drawn a red arrow to highlight that same place
from Invasion Day 442 – Summary
Not sure if this is just domestic Polish politics, or more serious
Long term gepolitics
EU tells ministers they must ‘recalibrate’ China policy over support for Russia
Josep Borrell says relations will worsen if Xi Jinping does not push Putin to withdraw from Ukraine
www.theguardian.com
Fair
‘We’ll get there’: the Ukrainian drone unit quietly knocking out Russian targets
Col Roman Kostenko on how nightly tactical operations are crucial to Kyiv’s preparation for a counteroffensive
www.theguardian.com
Great, there will be reinforcement, so no let up
US Abrams tanks for training Ukrainian forces arrive in Germany ahead of schedule
U.S. officials say the Abrams tanks needed for training Ukrainian forces have arrived in Germany slightly ahead of schedule, and are on their way to the Grafenwoehr Army base where the training will begin in two to three weeks. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin tells the Senate Appropriations...
apnews.com
These are several-km thrusts, both sides Bakhmut, and in Soledar as well I think
and check this out - it is exactly the sort of thing that could open up quickly if you look at the big map and the sparsely held nature of th eRussian fortified lines
and now here is the big map and I have drawn a red arrow to highlight that same place
from Invasion Day 442 – Summary
Last edited:
Tiger
Active Member
Thought this was interesting. Would love to get opinions about this from others here.
also a couple of deep strikes into Luhansk has the oil depot there ablaze. Ukraine definitely shaping. It is almost a sun tzu text book case study.
It's unclear whether they are going after him for things he did before the war or after the sanctions were in place. If it was about things he did before the war, he probably did nothing illegal, though if he was trying to get around EU sanctions than that is a problem for him.
Long term gepolitics
EU tells ministers they must ‘recalibrate’ China policy over support for Russia
Josep Borrell says relations will worsen if Xi Jinping does not push Putin to withdraw from Ukraine
Fair
‘We’ll get there’: the Ukrainian drone unit quietly knocking out Russian targets
Col Roman Kostenko on how nightly tactical operations are crucial to Kyiv’s preparation for a counteroffensive
Great, there will be reinforcement, so no let up
US Abrams tanks for training Ukrainian forces arrive in Germany ahead of schedule
U.S. officials say the Abrams tanks needed for training Ukrainian forces have arrived in Germany slightly ahead of schedule, and are on their way to the Grafenwoehr Army base where the training will begin in two to three weeks. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin tells the Senate Appropriations...
These are several-km thrusts, both sides Bakhmut, and in Soledar as well I think
and check this out - it is exactly the sort of thing that could open up quickly if you look at the big map and the sparsely held nature of th eRussian fortified lines
View attachment 937056
and now here is the big map and I have drawn a red arrow to highlight that same place
View attachment 937057
from Invasion Day 442 – Summary
This is evidence Russian morale is very poor. It may also be evidence of their numerical weakness. If the Russians are cutting an running during a shaping operation, it doesn't bode well for them when Ukraine goes over fully to the offensive.
BitJam
Active Member
Massive inferno erupts next to Russian power plant in latest mystery fire
A HUGE blaze has broken out close to one of Moscow’s main power plants, the latest mystery fire to damage Russia’s key infrastructure. An area of 2,500 square metres has reportedly gone…
www.thesun.co.uk
Russians have not yet learned that smoking is bad for your health.
N Bahkmut on fire tonight- I mean it looks like hell ...hell itself. Cant imagine young men and women being sent to fight there.
Last edited:
Russia fumes at Polish decision to reinstate Kaliningrad’s old name
Poland has officially decided to use the Polish name for the city taken by the USSR after WWII, as its original Polish name, Królewiec. Russians go ballistic as it offends the spirits of Soviets. Maybe the Ruskies are afraid Poland plans to invade the strip of land between Lithuania and Poland that isn't connected to Mother Russia, especially if Russian troops get booted out of Belarus.
Poland has officially decided to use the Polish name for the city taken by the USSR after WWII, as its original Polish name, Królewiec. Russians go ballistic as it offends the spirits of Soviets. Maybe the Ruskies are afraid Poland plans to invade the strip of land between Lithuania and Poland that isn't connected to Mother Russia, especially if Russian troops get booted out of Belarus.
BitJam
Active Member
The long and the short of it as we await decisive news from the front. A nine minute talk and a forty minute talk on the war in Ukraine. They both make the point that Ukraine's success in their upcoming counter-offensive may be crucial for continued military support from the West at the levels Ukraine requires. The first talk also mentions that Ukraine and NATO have a metric ship-load of information about Russian defenses and logistics. Expect this to be put to good use.
In the 2nd, longer, talk Richard Iron stresses that the ICC (International Criminal Court) arrest warrant for Vladimir Putin has affected possible outcomes because no one wants to negotiate with an international war criminal. Therefore ousting Putin from power may be the most likely way this war will end. The war is an existential threat for Putin but not for anyone else in Russia.
Richard Iron heaps praise on one of our favorites in this thread, the YouTuber Perun. Great to see Perun get the credit he so richly deserves. Iron's main warning from Perun is that Ukraine is running out of air defense ammunition and so needs fighter jets from the West to fill in the gap since Russia is unlikely to supply Ukraine with the ammunition it needs. This stems from the NATO doctrine of air supremacy and the Soviet/Russian response to it which was massive air defense that far outstrips anything in the West. Of course, Russia's continued illegal attacks on civilian infrastructure in Ukraine are intended to deplete Ukraine's limited air defense capability.
Iron also says the monthly firing rate of Russian artillery is now limited by the number of shells they can produce per month. If one side runs low on artillery ammunition, it will be at a significant disadvantage.
Neither talk makes predictions about the outcome of the counter-offensive.
Ukraine's next move will be bigger than most expect
A strategic analysis of the Russo-Ukraine War
In the 2nd, longer, talk Richard Iron stresses that the ICC (International Criminal Court) arrest warrant for Vladimir Putin has affected possible outcomes because no one wants to negotiate with an international war criminal. Therefore ousting Putin from power may be the most likely way this war will end. The war is an existential threat for Putin but not for anyone else in Russia.
Richard Iron heaps praise on one of our favorites in this thread, the YouTuber Perun. Great to see Perun get the credit he so richly deserves. Iron's main warning from Perun is that Ukraine is running out of air defense ammunition and so needs fighter jets from the West to fill in the gap since Russia is unlikely to supply Ukraine with the ammunition it needs. This stems from the NATO doctrine of air supremacy and the Soviet/Russian response to it which was massive air defense that far outstrips anything in the West. Of course, Russia's continued illegal attacks on civilian infrastructure in Ukraine are intended to deplete Ukraine's limited air defense capability.
Iron also says the monthly firing rate of Russian artillery is now limited by the number of shells they can produce per month. If one side runs low on artillery ammunition, it will be at a significant disadvantage.
Neither talk makes predictions about the outcome of the counter-offensive.
Ukraine's next move will be bigger than most expect
A strategic analysis of the Russo-Ukraine War
I wonder how many takers they will get.
Russia to Build ‘Migrant Village’ for Conservative American Expats - The Moscow Times
Russia to Build ‘Migrant Village’ for Conservative American Expats - The Moscow Times
SageBrush
REJECT Fascism
Crazy stuff happening:
2 helicopters and 2 planes down this morning- pilots lost.
Switzerland approves sending weapons to Ukraine at some point
de.euronews.com
2 helicopters and 2 planes down this morning- pilots lost.
Switzerland approves sending weapons to Ukraine at some point
Schweiz gibt grünes Licht für Waffenlieferungen an Ukraine
Das Kriegsmaterialgesetz hatte die Weitergabe von Waffen und Munition aus der Schweiz durch Drittstaaten bisher untersagt.
Maybe another helicopter.
Rumors are aim 120 missiles- air to air fired from beyond visual range. We’re those announced before? I can’t remember
Rumors are aim 120 missiles- air to air fired from beyond visual range. We’re those announced before? I can’t remember
If there was any doubt about Ukraine strategy this should clear it up. Why rush in to stop them from hurting themselves.
Wartranslated.com has a nice translation basically laying out the Ukraine strategy. So even the volunteer guy on the ground can see it. Does the Russia mod do anything different ? No
petit_bateau
Active Member
interesting items
German production & transfers up
Storm Shadow arrivals
A lot of Russian aircraft down: "There are unconfirmed claims on several popular Russian-military related Telegram channels that today Russia has lost 4 aircraft: 2 Mi-8 helicopters, a Su-34 fighter bomber aircraft, and a Su-25 ground attack aircraft." "Reliable Russian sources claiming the Mi-8 helicopters shot down in Bryansk earlier today were highly sophisticated and very rare Mi-8 MTPR-1 electronic warfare platforms. The Russian air force is thought to operate less than 20 of these aircraft. All 4 reportied to have been operating together as part of same air group, SU-34 carrying out out a missile / bomb attack in the Chernihiv region with the SU-35 providing fighter escort and the Mi-8s EW support, all engaged at the same time."
Good analysis
www.theguardian.com
German production & transfers up
Storm Shadow arrivals
A lot of Russian aircraft down: "There are unconfirmed claims on several popular Russian-military related Telegram channels that today Russia has lost 4 aircraft: 2 Mi-8 helicopters, a Su-34 fighter bomber aircraft, and a Su-25 ground attack aircraft." "Reliable Russian sources claiming the Mi-8 helicopters shot down in Bryansk earlier today were highly sophisticated and very rare Mi-8 MTPR-1 electronic warfare platforms. The Russian air force is thought to operate less than 20 of these aircraft. All 4 reportied to have been operating together as part of same air group, SU-34 carrying out out a missile / bomb attack in the Chernihiv region with the SU-35 providing fighter escort and the Mi-8s EW support, all engaged at the same time."
Good analysis
Ukraine has choice of targets as it plots counteroffensive
At critical point in war, Ukraine could press – or appear to press – in multiple locations to try to push Russians back
www.theguardian.com
That was a good analysis. Do we know how far into Russia The downed aircraft were? Klintsy is not that close to Ukraine.
