Russia/Ukraine conflict

[MC3OZ]

Yeah one thing this war has demonstrated is that it's easier to defend than attack. And judging by Avdiivka Ukraine has gotten even better at defending.

I'm starting to think Ukraine's best path to victory is tricking Russia into perpetually attacking fortified defenses.

I agree.

Attacks, need to be well planned and well resourced, right place, right time, right objectives, and the right resources.

When Ukraine is not 100% sure that an attack is a good option it is best to stick to defence,

With the right planning and preparation good opportunities to attack can probably be found.

And IMO the bottom line is that the war is an economic battle, results on the battle grounds might not be that critical for a timely/fair resolution.

Ukraine needs F16s, more drones more ammunition, and perhaps more soldiers before they can launch well resourced attacks.

 

[madodel]

The Axis of psychopaths is involved in terror all over the world.
Ecuador Insider: Russian and Iranian Ties to Ecuador’s Violence

 

[SmokyPeat]

President Zelensky reportedly said that Ukrainian forces destroyed 26 Russian helicopters in a day with some seemingly new defense weapon. Also 12 planes. Almost sounds too good to be true, and not clear what the date was when accomplished, but if true....

Two dozen Russian helicopters downed in one day with 'secret weapon'—Kyiv

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky claimed a mystery defense system it had been supplied had destroyed 26 helicopters in a day.

www.newsweek.com

 

[DanCar]

President Zelensky reportedly said that Ukrainian forces destroyed 26 Russian helicopters in a day with some seemingly new defense weapon. Also 12 planes. Almost sounds too good to be true, and not clear what the date was when accomplished, but if true....

Two dozen Russian helicopters downed in one day with 'secret weapon'—Kyiv

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky claimed a mystery defense system it had been supplied had destroyed 26 helicopters in a day.

www.newsweek.com

Sounds like long range missile or drone strike on airport(s). Storm shadow can do this, as well as ATACMS. Lots of different drones can be responsible.

 

[Tiger]

The Ukrainians have been building fortifications along the northern border since shortly after the Russian retreat in 2022. I read about them in the summer of 2022. The line was being held by second tier troops.

It can't hurt to build more extensive fortifications in the region and keeps the troops busy. If the Russians ever try to cross the northern bored again, the goal is to bog them down just inside the border long enough for mobile forces to be moved into the area to reinforce the line.

They should proceed with this along the old border everywhere they have regained control.

 

[Tiger]

Reminder:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1744897531669254605

This might actually be the most humane way to end the war.

 

[SmokyPeat]

Sounds like long range missile or drone strike on airport(s). Storm shadow can do this, as well as ATACMS. Lots of different drones can be responsible.

Yes, that would be fantastic if that is the case. I would put my money on ATACMS.

 

[wdolson]

Yeah one thing this war has demonstrated is that it's easier to defend than attack. And judging by Avdiivka Ukraine has gotten even better at defending.

I'm starting to think Ukraine's best path to victory is tricking Russia into perpetually attacking fortified defenses.

It's always easier to defend than attack. The Russian force is essentially only good for defense at this point, but the orders from Moscow are to attack, so they are with staggering losses.

With Ukraine's supplies restricted right now due to western politics, being on the defensive is their primary mission right now. Though they are doing quite a bit off the land battlefield. They drove the Russian navy out of the western Black Sea and they have done some severe damage behind the lines in the last year.

President Zelensky reportedly said that Ukrainian forces destroyed 26 Russian helicopters in a day with some seemingly new defense weapon. Also 12 planes. Almost sounds too good to be true, and not clear what the date was when accomplished, but if true....

Two dozen Russian helicopters downed in one day with 'secret weapon'—Kyiv

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky claimed a mystery defense system it had been supplied had destroyed 26 helicopters in a day.

www.newsweek.com

Very interesting. It will be interesting to learn what this is eventually.

The casualty reports from Ukraine don't reflect these Russian losses yet, but the report for the latest losses will come in within about an hour.

Reminder:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1744897531669254605

This might actually be the most humane way to end the war.

Strangling the beast is an effective way to end the war. That's essentially what the US did to Japan in WW II. Between submarines and air dropped mines around Japan, Japan strangled for supply. The USAAF was also bombing their factories, but by mid-1945 many factories were idle due to low supplies.

Cutting the Kerch Bridge would help a lot. Russia is still supplying the army over land in the south and by ship to Crimea. The attrition of the landing ships is helping strangle their supply lines.

Ukraine has also introduced a drone car with an auto-cannon. They tested it recently.
New Ukraine's ground drone destroys occupant positions – first video from the front

I think that was a BMP they took out.

 

[wdolson]

Massive fire in St Petersburg

https://twitter.com/x/status/1746090301624598827

https://twitter.com/x/status/1746099968069267674

https://twitter.com/x/status/1746093367367205269

I've been arguing that Ukraine needs fleets of Bradleys not lots of tanks

https://twitter.com/x/status/1745933354845815034

Bradley vs T-90, result knocked out T-90 and the Bradley drives off.

 

[Artful Dodger]

I often feel that a better use for the UN building in NYC would be to convert it to a homeless shelter.

Isn't that what it is now? Plus Diplomatic Immunity, of course. Not too bad for a bunch of feckless vagrants.

 

[Artful Dodger]

would that or would that not solve the problem of Orban's obstreperousness regarding EU membership?

Orban is pregnant?! Dang...

 

[madodel]

Isn't that what it is now? Plus Diplomatic Immunity, of course. Not too bad for a bunch of feckless vagrants.

Also don't forget the "free" parking pass.

 

[Artful Dodger]

A Captain from my Regiment was a Staff Officer for Gen. Roméo Dallaire on the Canadian Forces UN Peacekeeping mission in Rwanda in 1994. They had to phone New York to get permission to do anything. Call between the hrs of 9-5 Eastern, Monday-Friday. They watched alot of needless killing waiting for some bureaucrat to pick up the phone. Hard to get over an experience like that when you come home. Some didn't.

 

[SwedishAdvocate]

Allegedly:

twitter.com/UKikaski/status/1746150807802704324?s=20

https://twitter.com/x/status/1746150807802704324

 

[Tiger]

Allegedly:

twitter.com/UKikaski/status/1746150807802704324?s=20

https://twitter.com/x/status/1746150807802704324

Good kickstart for Balkanization ...

 

[SwedishAdvocate]

"I came here to say that France will support Ukraine in the long term, from an economic, military point of view and from a humanitarian point of view," Sejourne said upon arrival in Kyiv.

New French foreign minister arrives in Kyiv

The newly appointed French foreign minister, Stephane Sejourne, arrived in the Ukrainian capital on Saturday, January 13. — Ukrinform.

www.ukrinform.net

UK & France. Add Norway. The rest of the EU will follow – with or without Hungary. Another 'fairly large country' would also be nice...

Guessing Canada, Australia, Japan, South Korea, New Zealand, Taiwan and Argentina are onboard as well.

 

[SwedishAdvocate]

The forum doesn't allow embedding media from Threads. This i from Kyiv Post's official Threads-account. Link below.

The Ukrainian 'Grain Corridor' in the Black Sea has reached its pre-full-scale invasion capacity, Dmytro Pletenchuk, a spokesman for the Ukrainian Navy, said during the national telethon.

"We have already crossed the line of 500 vessels and more than 10 million tons of cargo," he added.

threads.net/@kyivpost.official/post/C1_oilfoCKh

 

[Tiger]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1746110368186023995

 

[Tiger]

Allegedly:

twitter.com/UKikaski/status/1746150807802704324?s=20

https://twitter.com/x/status/1746150807802704324

Wonder if there is a list somewhere of the most valuable sites in Russia that can burn ... the citizens could start with those, since they got nothin' on 'em.

 

[Tiger]

Good candidate for Russia's next president: