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My massive returns turned into massive losses, so I'm liking your strategy much better right now....Yes, of course, both comments are. I post these updates merely to highlight that a very cautious options strategy can also be rewarding. I certainly envy the massive returns you and others are achieving, but can’t say I would trust myself or be comfortable with the risks.
Great price and timing, better than what I got selling c955s on Friday. This is an important lesson for new and old. Timing CC sales to a SP peak, especially Mondays, is very advantageous and helps maximize premiums. Also, selling CSP during a SP drop, especially Thursday or Friday for the following week, generates greater premiums.Early today at the frequent Monday AM peak, wrote 021122C975 at $16.94 and 021122C1075 at $2.22; lost about $5k I could have gotten 2/1 if I’d sold the same CC at market rather than trying to nudge price with limit orders.
Well, tbh, I took it in the teeth in 4Q with the mirror image sudden SP rise. Lesson learned was to be much more patient, to roll and wait for SP to come back, I was just too bullish and impatient to convert half of shares into LEAPs (had to uncover the shares). One of the downsides for me in dabbling in options is a desire for daily action.....perhaps the 4Q lesson will have enough lasting sting to get past that.My massive returns turned into massive losses, so I'm liking your strategy much better right now....![]()
Well, tbh, I took it in the teeth in 4Q with the mirror image sudden SP rise. Lesson learned was to be much more patient, to roll and wait for SP to come back, I was just too bullish and impatient to convert half of shares into LEAPs (had to uncover the shares). One of the downsides for me in dabbling in options is a desire for daily action.....perhaps the 4Q lesson will have enough lasting sting to get past that.
I’m sorry to see the troubles folks have had with puts and spreads since ER, and have to say I’m now in no hurry to learn about puts and spreads, just keep chugging along with CC Strategy (writing aggressive strikes against 2 buy-writes = 1/3 of total shares, no shares assigned so far; writing ~$150 OTM strikes against ~45% of core holdings). Total YTD (5 weeks) ROI = 3.3%, 40% annualized and something like 4x operating expenses.
Early today at the frequent Monday AM peak, wrote 021122C975 at $16.94 and 021122C1075 at $2.22; lost about $5k I could have gotten 2/1 if I’d sold the same CC at market rather than trying to nudge price with limit orders.
A bit conflicting here what is riskier, BPS or BCS.
Seems when TSLA was shooting up, BCS were riskier as the SP was generally rising.
With the macros now turning negative and the SP retreating, BPS are riskier now.
Is it really as simple as they are about the same, just depends on what the SP is doing ?
Cory drew a descending triangle starting with the beginning of the downward trend from the beginning of January. I really don’t like it is heading to the 700s. I really like more your analysis but this week might be the trigger to more bearish trend if we go into the 800sTryna read some tea leaves here - seems like we're heading towards 940 for the next few days, and then either hug the bottom of the channel (860-960) or continue upwards (960-1010).
I sold a couple call spreads yesterday and bought back a few put spreads. Just closed the calls and re-sold the puts at 910. I'll probably close em out tomorrow or Wednesday to avoid the potential 860 scenario. If we hit 860 I'll sell puts. If 1010, calls.
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Seems a good hedge to me and one side will always win. Looking at the MP chart, 900 close looks likely this week, assuming we don't get big news or macro shoving things around +/-10% on a daily basis...
yes... as long as one is not greedy, BPS is very rewarding. I also have 4 simple rules to keep me focused - they are on my 2nd monitor that displays a huge dashboard.In my experience, I still think BPS can be done safely. I have not taken any losses with BPS (huge knock on wood). Even with the recent flash crashes and volatility I have been able to close my BPS's for mostly 90%+ profit with minimal rolling. I've done this by being very picky about when I open them - only on strong down moves, and going about 20% OTM. The sweet spot I have found is 3-10 DTE. With these simple rules, I have weathered a lot of gut wrenching drops and come out OK.
Now BCS on the other hand is where I saw my biggest losses ever. I still haven't opened one since Hertz.
Tesla is going very sideways since after ER week, between 875 and 950.My uneducated, inexperienced eye would have us >900 <950 for Friday. The Put wall at 900 and Call wall at 950 forming the boundaries. I've read many times here that MMs are not as inclined to protect Put cs. Call.....so are they just going tomanipulatetrade it to stay below 950, with the bottom bound represented by the 200MA or lower BB (around 820) ?
Need to manage some -900/+700 BPS expiring on Friday.... a 900.10 close-by-a gnats-pubic-hair is too close for comfort for me
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Tesla is going very sideways since after ER week, between 875 and 950.
As this goes, I expect a pushdown below 900 end of Friday just to fsck some bps holders.
Nice to have you back!
I also jumped on GOOGL today, bought jan 23 2800 call. And immediately sold 2855 call for this friday expiry.
Serious diversification, one GOOGL option![]()