@Yoona you're going to have to explain to everyone what made you even consider a short straddle. Betting on low volatility on a high volatility stock is some clairvoyant level black magic.
The idea of being caught having to roll 100x naked positions with uncapped loss potential is giving me ulcers too. Especially with all this chatter about splits... one semi-cryptic Elon tweet could easily move the stock past those breakevens. That said, holy moly that's a trade!
oh, it's for a quick daytrade, i closed it at 24%... net ~$10 credit spanning only 24 hrs
how did i decide on the Short Straddle? here is what happened inside my head late Wed afternoon:
- 11/19 CC is on autopilot? check!
- nothing for 11/26? check!
- 12/3 1050-1400 CC is up 51% and still quietly collecting theta? check!
- nothing else to do? arrange the plants on the pathetic aquarium while dancing to
- looked at the Tue chart; hmmm, it's odd that the 10am peak 1057 is almost the same as the 4pm closing 1057...
are the MMs back in control? if they are, then that is good news coz the friday close probably won't be an unpredictable runaway SP
- looked at the Wed chart so far; large V peaked at the 1100ish ceiling about 6 times;
yes, the MMs are back and they are capping
- since the MMs are in charge again, maybe the maxpain chart can predict the friday SP; looked at the volume - whoa, humongous fight at 1100; tallest call wall is also 1100
- how to earn max $$$ from this insider info? it's either Short Straddle or Iron Butterfly; hmmm, SS it is - i don't need insurance if SP is going to be nailed, anyway; plus, this is a daytrade
- but what strike to choose? 1050/1060 was Tue range, but i don't think we're going down that low based on this morning's multiple reaching out to 1100; 1070 and 1080 are so random... the only even number remaining is 1090; that's it - Short Straddle at 1090
- let's check credit... $40 in 2 DTE?!?! let's do this; what is the probability of a 40 swing if MMs are in charge and target strike is already near the 1100 call wall?
(listening to the music again... it's been a good weekkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk)