.....Also, tire PM is actually a larger polluter than the ICE by a long shot. Meaning a tire eating EV Semi would still pollute more than a diesel, even just at the vehicle.
Frankly, I don't believe for a moment that mining a 200+ kwh battery pack, replacing it likely annually, then figuring out a way to generate the electricity to charge these things, is actually greener than a modern diesel, whose tailpipe emissions are currently cleaner than the air they take in, in every major US City.
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There are different types of pollution, and different ways of measuring what "pollutes more"...
But, I'll do some terrible math for one measure of "pollution" that I think about:
Lets say the EV truck goes 400 miles per day, 365 days per year (we've seen plenty of tales that the Tesla Semi can cover 400 miles per charge fully loaded...and can charge mid-day to go farther. But I'm really just trying to approximate here. VERY Rough numbers).
400*365 = 146,000 miles per year (if that's way too much...please bear with me anyway).
Let's say that a similar Diesel truck got 10 miles per gallon doing that much driving in a year (I'm pretty sure diesel semi rigs get well below that mpg rating, so I'm making them look better):
146,000 / 10 = 14,600 gallons of diesel.
Each gallon of diesel weighs about 7 pounds.
So, 14,600 * 7 = over 100,000 pounds of diesel burned, to cover 146,000 miles.
So, a 16,000 pound diesel truck is also burning 100,000 pounds of fuel to go 146,000 miles.
But wait, there's more! The diesel is burned with (mostly) oxygen. So, for example, the C's in the Diesel become (mostly) CO2's. As a result, among other emissions, each 7 pound gallon of diesel emits about 22 pounds of CO2.
So, a 16,000 pound diesel truck burns over 100,000 pounds of fuel and spews out over 300,000 pounds of CO2 to travel 146,000 miles.
So, even if that EV truck battery weighs 20,000 pounds on its own (it's lighter) and has to be replaced every 146,000 miles (it won't),
the comparison becomes the pumping, refining, and delivering of over 100,000 pounds of diesel to be burned into over 300,000 pounds of CO2 and other gases, to the mining, refining, and building 20,000 pounds of battery.
On tire usage.....mostly a different type of pollution (particulates, versus gases). And, a scare story about burning through tires super quickly doesn't somehow mean that acceleration on an EV truck can't be tuned and/or drivers can't be reasonable. But, still, on a straight mass-to-mass comparison, it would take an absolute lunatic to get up to burning through 10's of thousands of pounds of tires in 146,000 miles to be comparable on a mass basis to the above pollution figures.
And, there is plenty of industrial recycling of battery materials now...which is ever-improving, making that process all the more efficient. While the diesel is just burned and sent into the air, necessitating pumping and refining ever more crude oil, those battery materials can be recycled and reused again and again. There will be no land fills full of old truck EV batteries...
Of course, the electricity comes form somewhere...but in the future that is envisioned, an ever-increasing amount will be solar, wind, hydro, and other renewables that don't actually require constant material inputs. The renewable share currently is already good in many areas. As an example of that potential development though, if 400 miles of fully-loaded Tesla semi requires about 900 kWh of electricity, that could reasonably be offset in 4.5-hours of sun hitting 200 kW worth of solar panels elsewhere on the grid. That's somewhere in the ball park of 10,000-20,000 pounds worth of solar panels and components for the system, and it's going to last 20+ years with some small amount of maintenance. So the required mass of material to produce electricity from solar for 20+ years is much smaller than the mass of diesel required to drive a diesel truck for one year. In a sense, 20,000 pounds of stuff lasting 20 years is like 1,000 pounds needed for each year....and that is so dang much smaller than the 100,000 pounds of diesel fuel needed for the fossil-fuel alternative in my hypothetical year.
Yes, there are other things we're not considering -- the mass of raw materials for the solar panels and batteries is more than the final mass, but recycling of the final materials is also well proven and allows for a nearly circular economy. On the flip side, the refinery used for making the diesel is a huge, massive, polluting thing on its own. And both the refinery and the solar panels have associated land costs and location considerations.
But, doing the actual math, even making rough assumptions, it's pretty obvious that in a future of EV trucks and other vehicles, much less stuff will be spewed into the air, and much less stuff will need to be pumped, mined, refined, and shipped around the world.