Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

[drinkerofkoolaid]

Gracious, who in his or her right mind would divulge how much stock owned? I wouldn't answer even within an order of magnitude.

The poll doesn't need to and probably wouldn't involve asking how many shares a person owns. Only a range. My guess is that a significant number of people who own a Model S own more than 100 shares.

1) 100-500 shares
2) 500-1000 shares
3) 1000-3000
4) 3000 - 5000
5) 5000 +

 

[SteveG3]

aren't the polls here anonymous?

 

[drinkerofkoolaid]

aren't the polls here anonymous?

Good question. Are they? Is there a way to do an anonymous poll on here where only members can fill it out by names aren't shown? I guess survey monkey could work.

 

[SteveG3]

choose your own size grain of salt, but an interesting post from Gwgan in the Model X subforum,

"Received a call with offer to upgrade. No MyTesla button because of "limited numbers". I know that's lousy intel but that's all I got,—except they did say configuration "mid July". :smile: isn't the half of it."

by upgrade Gwgan was referring to turning a regular production reservation into a Signature reservation.

http://www.teslamotorsclub.com/showthread.php/37296-Upgrade-Button-is-Back/page3

 

[32no]

choose your own size grain of salt, but an interesting post from Gwgan in the Model X subforum,

"Received a call with offer to upgrade. No MyTesla button because of "limited numbers". I know that's lousy intel but that's all I got,—except they did say configuration "mid July". :smile: isn't the half of it."

by upgrade Gwgan was referring to turning a regular production reservation into a Signature reservation.

http://www.teslamotorsclub.com/showthread.php/37296-Upgrade-Button-is-Back/page3

"mid July" is only a slight delay from Early July:

Ben J. Kallo - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker)
Yes, a quick one. Just on the Model X, when we could see that?
Jeffrey K. Evanson - Vice President-Investor Relations
Elon, do you want to talk about Model X? We've had a number of questions from investors and Ben's question here about when you'll be able to configure Model X online, when we'll show that to the public, how that will actually deploy?
Elon Reeve Musk - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Yes. Probably three months from now, (1:14:44) May, so it's like – this is early July is when we'll ask people to do the configuration. And it would be very similar to the S, like it's not going to be super – there's no big surprises there. It's very similar to the S. And, yes, and we certainly have a lot of customers who've been waiting a long time. So they will probably (1:15:13).

 

[doggusfluffy]

Expiring Tax Break Jolts Electric Car Sales | KUOW News and Information

Lance Merkin is the manager at in the Westlake Telsa store in Seattle. He’s been unusually busy lately.

“Imagine your own personal workload doubling,” Merkin said. “That’s what has happened.”

 

[AlMc]

Short interest dissemination is tomorrow at market close for short interest as of June 15, 2015.

 

[SteveG3]

"mid July" is only a slight delay from Early July:

In my view 32no, there's been enough speculation that Elon's comments at the Annual Meeting signaled that the path to Model X deliveries was still an open-ended process that any sign that Tesla has moved development of the production X to a phase that allows for September or October deliveries is a positive (yes, I realize October is later than recent guidance, but I think the bearish case re X is ~"does anyone even know when we will see the X?" not "will the X come two or three weeks later than the most recent guidance?").

 

[hobbes]

If this poll doesn't exist, it should.

Do you own a Model S? Yes or No.
If yes, do you own Tesla stock?
If no, do you own Tesla stock?
If you own a Tesla and own Tesla stock, how much stock do you own?
If you don't own a Tesla, but own stock, how much stock do you own?

I would boil that down to two questions:
1) Do you own a Model S?
2) How much stock do you own (number of shares)? Can be zero.

Then you would still have two polls and no way to make sure people answer both and no way to correlate them if anonymous.
So I´d combine the answers into one poll, only doubles the number ("I do own a Model S and 100-199 shares" etc.)

aren't the polls here anonymous?

You have the choice of making the participants´ nicknames public or not. However, as far as I know the moderators can see them anyway, which wouldn´t bother me though. Also, most people don´t give away their real identities.

 

[replicant]

I've made the poll here.

The chart summary below should be automatically updated:

You can view the list of all submitted responses here.

 

[Irishjugg]

The poll doesn't need to and probably wouldn't involve asking how many shares a person owns. Only a range. My guess is that a significant number of people who own a Model S own more than 100 shares.

1) 100-500 shares
2) 500-1000 shares
3) 1000-3000
4) 3000 - 5000
5) 5000 +

Ugh, can we get a category for those of us who don't have a ton yet and are just trying to build build build? 14 shares and counting, trying to figure out the best way to use options to leverage myself into at least 100 shares by the end of the year.

 

[Thelurker]

Ugh, can we get a category for those of us who don't have a ton yet and are just trying to build build build? 14 shares and counting, trying to figure out the best way to use options to leverage myself into at least 100 shares by the end of the year.

+1.

 

[Irishjugg]

Ugh, can we get a category for those of us who don't have a ton yet and are just trying to build build build? 14 shares and counting, trying to figure out the best way to use options to leverage myself into at least 100 shares by the end of the year.

On a somewhat related note, while this isn't a short term question, how much of a pullback in TSLA do people think we would expect if the market as a whole had a ~10-20% pullback or some other such downturn due to macro conditions. Wondering how much value the next crash would help me capture, and I don't have experience paying attention to any of the last ones.

Still pissed at myself for not following through on my plans at TSLA @ $37 lol

 

[Rifleman]

I used to have significantly more share than a currently do, but I ended up essentially giving them back to Tesla in exchange for a Model S :biggrin:

 

[chickensevil]

I used to have significantly more share than a currently do, but I ended up essentially giving them back to Tesla in exchange for a Model S :biggrin:

Pretty much this ^

Then I reentered TSLA largely through options. So I responded with the shares I own but leveraged shares through options is a much much higher number, haha!

 

[eepic]

The poll doesn't need to and probably wouldn't involve asking how many shares a person owns. Only a range. My guess is that a significant number of people who own a Model S own more than 100 shares.

1) 100-500 shares
2) 500-1000 shares
3) 1000-3000
4) 3000 - 5000
5) 5000 +

Something fun, your share of revenue:

Based off the current 126.4mm shares outstanding.

 

[dmckinstry]

I used to have significantly more share than a currently do, but I ended up essentially giving them back to Tesla in exchange for a Model S :biggrin:

Same for me.

 

[Irishjugg]

Pretty much this ^

Then I reentered TSLA largely through options. So I responded with the shares I own but leveraged shares through options is a much much higher number, haha!

Did you just buy a lot of few month out calls, wait for a pop, then sell them to buy the stock, or did you do this some other way?

 

[Thelurker]

I also had over 100 shares, but got my s85d on friday and now im a bit shortstacked Will be grinding up more as time go by. Im a fan forever anyway

 

[RubberToe]

CVRP data just posted yesterday. Q2 numbers in California looking good: