Thank you. I got the lottery ticket analogy of either an obscene big winner or a worthless scap of paper depending on the events of the week when it expires. A pure gamble. Is there an online simulator or calculator or something you might recommend that I could play with to learn a little more and possibly model a 215 and 225 movement in TSLA scenario?
Honestly it is easier to just do it in your head.
For example (hypotheticals), if the stock is 205 and you buy 1 weekly 215 call for $100 and the stock jumps up to 220, then the option will now be worth $900ish ($500 because 220-215 = 5 + $400ish for time value + IV). If the stock closes at $220 on Friday then that option would be worth $500. (Most people would sell it before close to avoid having to actually buy the 100 shares.) So your $100 investment got you $900 if you sell it right away, which is a 9 fold return (9-bagger).
Now, same situation, but you buy the 205 call for $400 instead. The stock jumps to 220 - now it is worth $1,900 ($1,500 because 220-205 = 15 + $400 for time value + IV). So this time your $400 investment became $1,900, which is almost a 5-bagger.
You can quickly make these calculations in your head looking at strike prices and contract costs, then estimating return based on different scenarios of what the stock moves to.
If the stock stays flat, goes down, or only goes up a bit, then the 205 call will retain more value (less % loss); thus, it is safer to buy an at-the-money call but less potential for major return if the stock goes way up.
I don't really see it as a lottery ticket because if nothing happens during the 2 hours meeting, I am planning to just sell all my calls afterwards for minimal loss (assuming it doesn't drop much in the meantime). Kind of low risk, potential high reward.