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Yep, I'm pretty screwed barring one of the greatest recoveries in stock history over the next few weeks. My timing to start buying TSLA options a couple months ago could not possibly have been any worse. My TSLA options, including my Jan2015 LEAPS, are all over 50% loss (that's an average, the LEAPS aren't as bad).cracked the backbone .... :crying:
Yep, I'm pretty screwed barring one of the greatest recoveries in stock history over the next few weeks. My timing to start buying TSLA options a couple months ago could not possibly have been any worse. My TSLA options, including my Jan2015 LEAPS, are all over 50% loss (that's an average, the LEAPS aren't as bad).
The LEAPS have time to recover obviously, but if TSLA is reducing to a "fundamentals" valuation used to measure it's competitors then it's hard to know what that means for long term future valuation either.
Edit: Oof, with solar down too, this is 10% worse than the worst day I've ever had...and it's still early.
Yea, I'd like to hope so. I've been going back in TSLA's last several quarters and, well, one there's no precedent for an extended drop like this in quite some time. And two, the drops weren't as steep and the recoveries were faster. I'm not finding much to point to as an example of something like this recovering. I'd like to hope it could recover, because hope is about all my option stuff is worth nowIf the stock can fall this hard this fast, it can rise just as quickly.
It's been hanging here forever...Not sure which way it wants to go. Needs to choose soon!Alright, TSLA. Time to put in a bottom here.
the panic has stopped but i think we are on shaky ground.
Those 215s would require the stock to appreciate ~33% in 3 weeks to break even. Seems ambitious as that level of rise didn't even happen after the Q2 results (134ish->168ish after 3 weeks).Limit
- 2013/10/21 TSLA NOV 16 13 CALL $215 @ 3.52
- 2013/10/22 TSLA NOV 16 13 CALL $215 @ 2.77
- 2013/10/22 TSLA NOV 16 13 CALL $215 @ 2.77
- 2013/10/23 TSLA NOV 16 13 CALL $215 @ 2.02
- 2013/10/23 TSLA NOV 16 13 CALL $215 @ 2.38
- 2013/10/23 TSLA NOV 16 13 CALL $215 @ 1.90
To be clear, my intent wasn't and isn't to exercise those calls. My intent is to resell them before expiration -- like every other TSLA call and put that I've bought thus far.Those 215s would require the stock to appreciate ~33% in 3 weeks to break even. Seems ambitious as that level of rise didn't even happen after the Q2 results (134ish->168ish after 3 weeks).
Granted, I'm with you in needing a massive rise, but my break even point is closer to $195.
True, that's my intent as well, but the value is dependent on the formula that basically proxies the likelihood of being break even by the strike date, right?To be clear, my intent wasn't and isn't to exercise those calls. My intent is to resell them before expiration -- like every other TSLA call and put that I've bought thus far.
I'm not sure if it's precisely tuned for that, but yes I grant your general premise.True, that's my intent as well, but the value is dependent on the formula that basically proxies the likelihood of being break even by the strike date, right?
The sale is about to be over. So don't miss your chance! Approaching 165.