I'm not sure exactly how to respond to this. Did you try plugging in some numbers? Do you disagree with the equation? The point I'm trying to make is that your(and Robert's and the utilities) arguments regarding net-metering are specious in a literal sense. They are nominally true in that net-metering does distort pricing, but false in the magnitude and the conclusion. Simply saying omniously that its serious as Robert does or appealing to authority doesn't make it so. Its not now a serious distortion nor will it be a serious distortion under any remotely reasonable scenario.
You are also confusing subsidies paid to PV generation and costs of net-metering. It is not a valid argument to say that because PV subsidies are expensive that net-metering is expensive. It is not. Furthermore the equation I gave you is a worst-case one that assumes no benefits to the grid from PV. One can easily argue that the benefit to utilities from rate arbitrage(that is from getting expensive on-peak generation capacity and giving it back at cheap off peak times) fully outweighs any other costs, not to mention lower transmission line costs from having generation close to demand and the effects on fuel prices from lowered demand.
So, there are many arguments here. Only one of which is hammered home by the utilities and their lobbyists like Robert. That net-metering creates a "utility death spiral". Its simply BS and doesn't pass the smell test.
You are also confusing subsidies paid to PV generation and costs of net-metering. It is not a valid argument to say that because PV subsidies are expensive that net-metering is expensive. It is not. Furthermore the equation I gave you is a worst-case one that assumes no benefits to the grid from PV. One can easily argue that the benefit to utilities from rate arbitrage(that is from getting expensive on-peak generation capacity and giving it back at cheap off peak times) fully outweighs any other costs, not to mention lower transmission line costs from having generation close to demand and the effects on fuel prices from lowered demand.
So, there are many arguments here. Only one of which is hammered home by the utilities and their lobbyists like Robert. That net-metering creates a "utility death spiral". Its simply BS and doesn't pass the smell test.
- Residential customers pay for residential distribution costs, which are an expensive part of the distribution system. You can't take a simple 1/3.
- You can't assume that the total kWh use of net metered houses matches the average use, especially given that the subsidy is of greatest benefit to high consumers and that people in the best position to take advantage are those who are capital rich.
- What is that 1% of total? Is that feed-in or use? As I wrote, it's not the amount fed in that matters, it's the total unpaid/subsidy kWh of the households with PV.
- The current distribution fees are also paying for past capital investments. The introduction of residential PV messes with those assumptions, which adds to the cost of capital.
- I wasn't suggesting that net metering costs would be responsible for the all of the projected cost increases. It's just one piece of the puzzle but it's important because it's a such a sizable subsidy to the customer (my per-kWh distribution price here in Maine is 6.9c/kWh) without which solar PV would definitely not be an economic installation. There are other subsidies and the projected increase is for a significant percentage increase in solar's RPS.
- Massachusetts aim is to have 1.6GW of solar capacity, up from .025GW now. The 2012 MA total summer capacity was 14.3GW.
It's not like anybody here's suggesting "Boo solar, no subsidies for you." It's that Robert, I and others would really like to see a correction in the pricing systems so that they don't create unnecessary antagonism and the market can work properly. Just as successful PEV means that the current road-funding system will have to be changed, so residential solar requires a change in the payment system. At this point, if you want more solar in the grid, either the PV owner pays more, or everybody pays more. The excessive subsidies are helping to sustain the USA's excessive soft costs and also encourage purchase of capacity over efficiency.
PS Germany's renewable energy surcharge currently stands at 8.4c/kWh.