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Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable
- Thread starter AudubonB
- Start date
Put in an order to buy about $10T in 10 year notes?
From the opening whistle, Team Tesla came out strong and held an early lead, but hit a cold stretch and fell behind. They crawled their way back and went through several lead changes, pulling ahead late in the 4th quarter, but hit a massive slump to give up the lead and finish with a narrow loss. What started as a promising season has turned sour in the past week or so, and hopefully they will regain their positive footing.
Today
Score: 675.50
Margin of W/L: -6.72
Attendance: 40,133,011
Season
Record: 20-18
Total points in wins: 429.06
Total points in losses: -459.23
YTD gain/loss: -30.17 -4.28%
Avg points per win: 21.45
Avg points per loss: -25.51
Best W: 63.98 2021-01-08
Worst L: -68.83 2021-01-11
Last 10: 3-7
Streak: L2
Today
Score: 675.50
Margin of W/L: -6.72
Attendance: 40,133,011
Season
Record: 20-18
Total points in wins: 429.06
Total points in losses: -459.23
YTD gain/loss: -30.17 -4.28%
Avg points per win: 21.45
Avg points per loss: -25.51
Best W: 63.98 2021-01-08
Worst L: -68.83 2021-01-11
Last 10: 3-7
Streak: L2
I wish you had a twitter feed with just this. As it stands now, I have to sift through charts, and care bears, and reposts, and even my own drivel just to get to this every day.
These short-term predictions are based on the Max Pain, i.e. the Friday closing price where sellers of options inflict the maximum losses on their buyers, i.e. the stock price where the options that end up in the money expire with the minimum value.
It is widely accepted that no one and also not sellers of options can control the stock price through the will of their mind.
Rather, it must take some form of manipulation (the nature of which is being much debated).
But it seems obvious that such manipulation comes at a cost - and possibly even with some risk. It also seems logical that such manipulation will have to overcome the natural equilibrium of buying and selling pressure, and that therefore the more actual buying and selling there is ongoing, the more costly (and potentially risky) the manipulation must be.
As such it is natural to imagine that the ability of options sellers to inflict Max Pain is more pronounced on trading days where there is light trading going on. A scientist worth their salt would look for this in historical data, but I don't know one.
So on trading days where the volume is low (for example 50% or less of the average), one could expect the Max Pain to be a relatively good predictor of the closing price. Whereas on trading days where the volume is higher, it becomes a poorer predictor. Today the trading volume was within 10% of the average - so this could be the explanation. Assuming the whole thing is not nonsense...
Artful Dodger
"Neko no me"
StealthP3D
Well-Known Member
First, a surprisingly ingenious way to keep an electric scooter charged by connecting it to an EV and now a blazingly brilliant marketing insight.
Please, stop! That's all the innovation I can handle in a single day!
Last edited:
asburgers
Sell order in at $8008.5
Just start sentence with Tesla might be impacted by macros and do the rest. I have see this technique used even by mods when saying a joke
e.g I am drinking beer today, because Tesla SP is Red. The color of my beer bottle is also red
Veteran move sir.
Cathie and Elon both plan further ahead than March 29th. They don't really care about swings like this so much.
I do have some June 2022 LEAPs that are hurting more than Id like and rather than close those out Id prefer to just put some puts in while the market is shaky.
Krugerrand
Meow
Mokuzai
Member
Weekend OT Solar Roof update!
Feb 10th: Solar Roof ordered
Feb 11th: Assessment and design completed
Feb 26th: Permits obtained
Texted the project manager about timelines and he said to expect the scheduling team to reach out "over the next month to schedule solar roof start date."
Feb 10th: Solar Roof ordered
Feb 11th: Assessment and design completed
Feb 26th: Permits obtained
Texted the project manager about timelines and he said to expect the scheduling team to reach out "over the next month to schedule solar roof start date."
Cathie Woods for Secretary Treasury. Her and JPOW will save the global economy.
Yellen says dumb stuff like BTC is for illicit transactions but forgets about CASH.
Cathie is amazing. BTC discussions go here Bitcoin, Cryptocurrency and Blockchain Discussion Thread
Also just for the record, its Cathie with a C not a K, an ie not a Y, and Wood doesn't have an S
Seeing the many permutations of spelling that Cathie Wood's name gets is always amusing.
You state you've never bought a call before, but the price of the Jan 22 $800 is low enough to temp you, but on the other hand you don't see the SP rising between now and the expiration date.
So why would you be looking to buy a call if that's your opinion? Doesn't make sense.
I think ive lost more money on short term calls and puts than ive ever made. I have done well with LEAPS tho. Not advice
A lot of methane gas was produced to make that beautiful cut of beef.
No McPlant for me, I'll take the steak.
My carbon offsets are a couple of Tesla's and a veggy eating wife.
And what about your wife's CH4 emissions then?
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