There was a bunch of countries in Europe that last year at this time of year was around 6-8%. They are now 20-25%.
I think you're counting plug-in hybrids there?
The European plug-in electric car market notes strong expansion this Summer in very challenging circumstances, as the overall car market is down.
insideevs.com
Through August 17% for all electrics, and a slight majority of those are PHEVs, not BEVs... (9% vs 8%)
Obviously there's some small countries much higher. Total for both types is ~1.35 million cars.
Sept #s should be a nice bump here from Tesla, but even if it was double the entire rest of the years deliveries for them just in Sept you'd be at 1.5 million total (with about half being BEVs.... so most optimistically at a blazing pace, 2 million total, with maybe 1 million BEVs end of the year.
That's 8-10% overall marketshare for BEVs in europe. Up, certainly, but quite a ways from 20-25 still.
Where do you all think they will be next year? Over or under 50%?
There aren't enough BEVs to get over 50% other than in a handful of relatively small countries.
Europe buys like 10-13 million cars a year. So even at bottom of the avg sales in recent years you need 5 million BEVs in a year to do that.
Even if we pretend Berlin is producing just as much as Shanghai by Jan 1 and both Berlin and Shanghai have doubled output by end of 2022, AND they keep shipping Shanghai cars to Europe as well, you're still gonna need many millions of non-tesla EVs to magically show up next year as well for that.
Tesla is scaling as fast as possible- sadly hardly anybody else is.