My day job involves interacting with a fair number of truck drivers. Many of them are long-haul and over the road, some are delivery drivers with 300-500 mile days being typical. Nearly universally, after a brief summation of the advantages of the EV platforms they have one strong belief; skepticism. None of them believe that Tesla will achieve the range, recharge times, payload, or reliability stated. The same few questions keep arising, which to be fair, are legitimate.
"Where will I charge?"
"Who will do maintenance/repairs?"
"Ok, so what is the REAL world range?"
etc.
It is broad pessimism and skepticism of the ability of Tesla to execute that pervades the OTR community. The location of (and powering of) the Semi-charger, the actual loaded ranges, the price for charging, the maintenance costs, and all of the little real-world issues that will crop up outside of warm-weather climates need to be uncovered and solved before massive scaling can begin.
The scaling to 100,000+ per year needs a test phase to be de-risked. Tesla did this with low production S for several years before the mass produced 3 and Y platforms were revealed. I suspect that the 50,000 2024 production number that was mentioned in the last earnings call will turn out to be extremely optimistic.
Lastly, while the drivers are not believers, they all had widened eyes when describing the savings in fuel costs (probably more than half) the maintenance savings (no engine, transmission, DEF/exhaust system, minimal brake wear, etc). Many of these drivers are hit routinely with multi-thousand and up to $60,000 bills for repairs. If Tesla manages the ramp-up and these things hit the road and keep the promises, drivers will flock to them. Demand will soar.
As SMR says, the more Teslas Tesla sells, the more Teslas Tesla sells.